Reykjavík Grapevine - 21.09.2007, Page 18

Reykjavík Grapevine - 21.09.2007, Page 18
Icelandic Mountain Guides Booking and information: www.mountainguide.is - Tel: +354 587 9999 ExperienceIce-land Easy Glacier Adventures for Everyone Ice Climbing Hot Spring Hike Ascension of Iceland’s Highest Peak Trekking and Backpacking Spör - Ra gn he ið ur In gu nn Á gú st sd ót tir Travel Guides Can Be Honest. Really Available at your nearest bookstore The only guide that tells you the talk of the swimming pools, how to find the best cafes, how to recover from all night parties, an A to Z of Icelandic music and what "Viltu kaffi?" can really mean. imbued everyday Icelanders with the mythi- cal qualities of their first names, relies on the myth of the Land of the Vikings – where ev- eryone believes in elves and speaks an an- cient language of great wisdom and power.) But as the two German brothers in the 2000 movie Enlightenment Guaranteed find out when they are put to work scrubbing floors at a Japanese monastery, we are all human, and Asian cultures, though different, are nei- ther more nor less spiritual than our own. I am often concerned when I hear stu- dents speaking casually about plans to study Chinese. Spoken Mandarin is easy once you figure out its four tones. But the writing sys- tem is an inefficient beast (which other Asian countries have mostly abandoned and which Chinese schoolkids also find difficult). It takes two to three years of intensive study before you can even begin to read a newspaper. Like studying any language, it’s a fascinat- ing journey, but not one to be undertaken lightly. You can make quicker progress in any other Asian language. To hook a customer, one doesn’t always have to deliver tangible returns; sometimes just expectations of returns are enough, and sometimes even expectations of others’ ex- pected returns. So before you drop every- thing and get on the China bandwagon, or any other, be an informed consumer: try to find out whether there’s something real on offer, or you’re just a sucker in a buzzmakers’ scheme. Not the Only Asian Country In the grip of the China buzz, mainland China starts to seem like the only country in Asia. But there are over 700 million East Asians in countries like Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, Singapore, and Japan, and roughly 1.2 billion in India, Nepal, and Bangladesh. These countries are important business part- ners, outweigh China as a source of imports to Iceland, offer considerable investment growth potential, and produce (on average) higher-quality products. For example, Asian food importers in Iceland prefer to buy from Thailand, the Philippines, and Japan, not from China. China is just one of the scenes on a broader Asian tapestry. The real long-term story is the two-way encounter between Asian and Euro-American cultures. Two hun- dred years ago, there were virtually no Asians in Europe or North America. Now people of Asian ancestry make up about 4% of Brit- ain’s population, about 5% in the United States, and closer to 10% in Canada. Iceland is at around 1%, but already Southeast Asian cooking has had a huge influence on us, to the point where fish sauce and coconut milk have become commodities that we buy in bulk at Bónus. The encounter may be just beginning. Al- though Asia is far away, I can well imagine that in fifty years Europeans will be eating more Asian food, reading more Asian litera- ture, seeing more Asian movies, and using more Asian design ideas than they do now. The three billion people in Asia (compared to less than one billion in Europe and North America) have plenty of interesting, practi- cal ideas that are worth knowing and learn- ing about. And that means Indonesian pea- nut sauce and Japanese red bean paste just as much as Chinese pot stickers or Peking duck. China within Asia The cultural differences and relations be- tween Asian countries are as complex as those within Europe. China has a special position in Asian history. In medieval times, when China was more powerful, many Chi- nese settled in other Asian countries. These communities were prominent in business life, and in some cases enjoyed special favour from European colonial administrations. Sub- stantial ethnic Chinese minority communities still exist in countries like Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Especially after World War II, Asian coun- tries promoted their indigenous languages, religions and value systems at the expense of Chinese culture. This process was com- parable to the twentieth-century rollback of German-speaking influence in Eastern Eu- rope, as countries like Poland and Hungary promoted their own identities. The measures used were often drastic. Thailand closed Chinese-language schools and made ethnic Chinese take Thai names. Indonesia passed a law in 1959 forbidding Chinese to own busi- nesses. Tensions continue: in 1998, anti-Chi- nese riots broke out in Jakarta. During the thirty years since the Cultural Revolution, as mainland China has slowly re- opened to the rest of the world, the image of mainland China in other Asian countries has been a less than positive one, of chain-smok- ers with rude manners, who dress badly, spit in public, and are suspicious of anything non-Chinese. In a way, the mainland Chinese have been the Ugly Americans of Asia. This is a stereotype, of course, with only limited truth behind it. Many people who travel to China aim at getting beyond the stereotypes to make human contact with the “real” Chi- na. In the same way, thoughtful travellers to America know that stereotypes of Americans only apply to a minority. Just as those with a Jewish identity do not automatically identify with Israel, not ev- eryone who is “Chinese” lives in or identifies with mainland China. So overseas Chinese can be as critical of mainland China as any- one else. Singapore’s anti-spitting campaign, for example, was not just a way of cleaning up the city but also of symbolically distancing Chinese Singaporean customs from those in mainland China. Many Asians feel they have worked hard to create relatively tolerant, relatively open societies and to develop sensible trade rela- tions with the rest of the world. At one level, they welcome mainland China’s re-emer- gence. But they also find its current swag- ger in world politics slightly nauseating. The sense is a little similar to the feeling some Europeans have towards a resurgent, ener- gy-rich Russia, which they feel has not really learned how to cooperate with its neigh- bours or behave responsibly on the world stage. And that means that China’s prominence in Iceland’s foreign relations, given the well established Thai, Vietnamese, and Filipino immigrant communities here and our busi- ness relations with other Asian countries, can start to come across a little as if Iceland was emphasising political and economic rela- tions with Russia at the expense of its historic ties to Norway, Sweden, and Denmark. China is Important... China has become one of the world’s most important manufacturing centres and a growing political power. The rise of China as a world manufacturing centre belongs on the same bookshelf with the story of Lan- cashire in the early 1800s, the north-eastern United States in the later 1800s, or Japan af- ter World War II. Cities like Shenzhen have sprawled from nothing to New York size in a matter of two or three decades. Emigrants, often young women, have arrived from the Chinese countryside, and work 12 hours a day, six days a week, for $100 a month. They live in company dormitories, eat in company cafeterias, and overworked but reasonably secure, assemble the goods that China sells to the world. There’s no question that Iceland can benefit from establishing more direct trade channels with China. It’s likely that Iceland can modestly increase its exports to China, and that Icelandic investors can significantly increase their holdings in China. It’s impor- tant to have sensible political relations with China. Understanding Chinese culture is im- portant. ...But Location Still Matters I mentioned that Icelandic exports to China totalled 2.75 billion krónur in 2006. That may have sounded like a lot. Here’s anoth- er statistic: the same year’s exports to the Faroe Islands totalled 2.89 billion krónur. Ex- ports to the Faroes have outpaced exports to China for many years running. China has twenty-five thousand times as many people as the Faroe Islands. But it is many times fur- ther away. We need to understand these sorts of numbers to avoid building castles in the air. As Stefán Úlfarsson put it, the “lack of criti- cal discussion about China in Iceland” has “probably played a role in Icelanders’ consid- erable gullibility towards unrealistic ‘miracle stories’ about the Chinese economy.” Here are some more facts: Lithuania and Nigeria are bigger purchasers of Icelan- dic seafood than China. Japan is a far more important export destination for Icelandic goods than China. And something like 70% of Iceland’s trade is with Europe anyway. Now that China is open again, it is likely to become a trade partner with Iceland of an importance proportional to its size and distance from us. That means that it is going to be a significant partner, but surely never the biggest one, and probably one subject to relatively high geopolitical risk. I know this isn’t a really exciting conclusion – but hey, my goal was to evaluate the buzz, not perpetu- ate it. China’s high rate of manufacturing growth will continue for some time, but it will not last forever, just as Japan and Taiwan matured as manufacturing centres. Iceland is in the North Atlantic, and will always be closely tied to its closest neighbours: Europe, Canada, and the United States. So, here’s my advice. Go to China. Learn about it. Work with Chinese suppliers. It’s a fascinating place. But keep in mind that the Great Wall of China is not visible from the moon. And don’t forget to learn some Faro- ese. 18_REYKJAVÍK_GRAPEVINE_ISSUE 15_007_FEATURE/FREE TRADE

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