Reykjavík Grapevine - 24.09.2010, Síða 27

Reykjavík Grapevine - 24.09.2010, Síða 27
state. This is a vicious circle. The public’s spending power decreases, so income based on tolling and taxing imports is lost—and then we have to pay interest of our debts. A lot of what we need to do to accom- plish this can be hard and painful—and we’re not finished yet—but we’ve made some great advances. Things are going well, and the situation now is a lot bet- ter than was predicted in the direct af- termath of the collapse. Inflation is fast receding and our economy is straighten- ing out, so despite everything that’s gone down in the past eighteen months we are definitely on the right track, even if it is a big struggle. I don’t want to credit the state treasury or me as Finance Minister with our success, but we have still have managed to solve a lot of problems con- nected to the ministry. This is where the biggest and hardest problems created by the banking collapse wound up to be resolved—aside from running the state treasury and managing problems related to that, our banks went bankrupt so we needed to reconstruct them. The Ministry of Finance handled all that work and the negotiations con- nected to it. Processing the collapse We also are in charge of the horrible Ic- eSave affair that remains unsolved, and we needed to negotiate with foreign states and central banks to receive currency loans. We also handle a big part of the In- ternational Monetary Fund negotiations, we’re restoring the savings banks... these are all hard and complicated tasks that are added to the ministry’s day to day duties. We’ve worked towards assisting the economy, helping businesses and homes through troubles. We’re trying to work beyond just putting out fires and solving problems, presenting new ideas such as tax breaks for start-ups and innovators, and we introduced stimulating measures to increase demand for contractors, rais- ing VAT rebates for construction and restoration work. We are sending out the message that now is a good time to build or renovate, and the state is supporting that with tax breaks... I could go on. We’ve started an innumerable amount of these kinds of measures, and any claims that this government has been inactive are wrong, simply put. We have worked very hard, under very difficult cir- cumstances. Of course this has been try- ing; it has been a busy and unbelievable time. And on top all this, we have been investigating the collapse and what lead to it, the SIC [Special Investigative Com- mittee] Report, the Special Prosecutor; there are a lot of things to tend to in terms of processing the collapse. So to sum it up, you could say our task is threefold: to keep things running, to investigate the collapse and its causes, and laying the foundations of a renais- sance. And I think it’s going very well, even though the situation is still fragile... No room for ideology following the discourse, and especially in terms of what the opposition is saying, it wouldn’t seem like you’re doing all that much, nor that you’ve had any success. Based on their criti- cisms and their track record, can you imagine what a coali- tion between the Progressives and The Independents would be doing? Would their measures be any different, in your view? I am not sure of that. As I have said, reality takes over in the end. You may fos- ter an ideology and lots of ideas on how to do things, but they ultimately clash with reality. In a situation such as ours, people have to be realistic, face it as it is and seek out the solutions and methods that are available, to pick the comparatively best ones. That leaves little room for ideolo- gies. I am not saying that how things are done isn’t important, it certainly is, but to some extent our options are very much limited by our circumstances. I am con- vinced that any government would have chosen a mixed way as we are doing—it’s the only option, really. Reality takes over, and even the most hardline neo-liberals would realise that you cannot solve these problems without resorting to every mea- sure. The choice to be political and ideo- logical in these times simply isn’t an op- tion. It does matter, however, how you choose to do the things that need to be done, how you implement the necessary changes. For instance, we are trying our utmost to preserve our welfare system and shield it from cutbacks—we are cut- ting half as much from the budget of so- cial services, education and police than other areas. We are showing it through our taxation methods by adding taxation to those in the highest income bracket while sparing the lowest one by introduc- ing a special low-income bracket. We are trying to preserve the standard of living for those that make the least money. This is where politics enters the sphere; this is where they’re important. We haven’t had a lot of choices, and I am totally convinced that the Indepen- dence Party, that bears so much respon- sibility for the collapse after its eighteen years in power, isn’t fit to undertake this task. They don’t have the credibil- ity, people would remember. A change in government back in 2009 wasn’t only inevitable, it was absolutely necessary. McDonalds no more? There seems to be a certain determinism at work when you claim you don’t have a choice, yet it is evident that many of your party members are ideologi- cally motivated. Were you never tempted to... try something new? Don’t you imagine some of them had hopes you would? You can’t place too deep a meaning in my words when I say that we are subject to our circumstances. In this instance we do not get to choose the battlefield or the tasks at hand, the collapse determined that. We have a job to do, and our first re- sponsibility is to defend our society and its interiors, to ensure that every aspect of it is functioning and that we see our way out of these troubles. That’s number one. That’s not to say we don’t have con- victions on how society should work, we have plenty of those and no one should imagine even for a second that we are re- building the same society that collapsed, or the same economy. We aren’t. We are for instance re-building banks at a tenth of the size they were when they crashed. The financial system will now be owned by the state again, after it had been pri- vatised with horrible results. We have a clear vision of where we are heading: to- wards a Nordic welfare society, away from toying with neo-liberal ideas and Ameri- canisation. We are experiencing a clear turning point in our political history; Iceland is heading in a different direction than it was in the years before the crash. I say that we are returning home. And where is home? It is in the Nordic family, with a strong Nordic, mutually responsible wel- fare system. These are our politics, just so that’s clear. Quick change? Just how fast we can accomplish these changes—can we revolutionise the sys- tem while we are trying to keep it from collapsing entirely—that is an altogether trickier subject. I think we are going to have to accept that this is a long road to recovery we are on. When we are done restoring and rebuilding our politics and ideologies will be clear. We want a soci- ety that is entirely different from what we had back in 2006, free of the greed and the overconfidence in the market that prevailed. The gospel said: “no supervi- sion, the market will correct itself, it is infallible!” That ideology has crumbled to the ground. We now know what to do, and I think Iceland has changed a lot both in terms of political ideology and also public opinion. Try walking the streets and ask- ing pedestrians whether they support pri- vatisation. I predict that 90% of those you poll will answer with a resounding no. Four years ago, I think you would have gotten reverse results. An ideology had been bashed into the nation’s head, the state had been relentlessly talked down and the market glorified. They laid a lot of groundwork for that ideology, which has now collapsed. Damaged It is pleasing to note that the discourse now is more open and critical than it used to be. We are not going to be treated like this again. This is good, and I won’t complain that us in the government or me personally are subject to constant criticism. People are keeping a close and critical watch, and this is good. The only thing that worries me is that the Kreppa is now stuck in our heads, that we are too focused on our problems. A lot of good things are happening, and we must not ignore that. But many pil- lars of our soci- ety are damaged by the collapse. Our politics are in a state of shock, you could say our entire po- litical system is damaged, as the munici- pal elections in Reykjavík showed. One of the things that crashed is faith in society. There is a lot of suspicion and distrust around; it is inevitable when such things happen, when something happens that shouldn’t happen, that must not happen. And people naturally feel like they’ve been betrayed. That a lot of people let them down, and there is a lot of truth in that, as the SIC Report reveals very clear- ly. We have a lot of work on our hands reclaiming what was lost, to reconstruct not only the material entities but also re- store trust and faith in our community, so people can start trusting Parliament, regulatory agencies and the media again. “I will keep at this” Do you honestly believe that you’ll be given a chance to finish your work? The Independence Party hasn’t polled higher since before the collapse, it seems to be widely accepted that you will finish this term and then return to your former place in the op- position... Well, if we manage to finish this term, which I hope, I do believe we are best suited to follow this work through. If we manage to get Iceland through these difficulties, which we are well on our way to doing, we can look back on that work and say: See! We took over their ruins, and we restored order, we resurrected Iceland. That will be a decent reward in itself. I can’t really ask for more than when all this is through I can stand proud and rightfully exclaim: I did all I could, I sac- rificed myself to this task, I spent all my time, my energy, my efforts on restoring Iceland. I did my best. And I do believe that if one compares the current situation to what we were fac- ing by the end of 2008, to what was pre- dicted in terms of the economy, it gives great reason for optimism. We need to keep that in mind. I am both a mountain climber and a marathon runner, and I do not give up easily. I’ve said it before and I can repeat it for Grapevine: I will resign the day I lose faith in our ability to solve the prob- lems at hand, but while I still believe it is doable—and I am convinced that it is—I will keep right at it. Marathon man you speak of marathons, climb- ing mountains and sacrificing yourself for the cause of rebuild- ing Iceland... I am sure folks are generally grateful for your hard work, but are you sure this is a healthy way to work? What is your average workday like? People say you’re always on the job... I am at the office from before eight in the morning and usually at least un- til dinnertime, often I spend the evening here too. I frequently work weekends, and you could say that I barely took a day off last year. I have no vacation to speak of; I get the occasional weekend off. I avoid going abroad unless it’s absolutely neces- sary, when I need to protect our interests or negotiate with foreign nations or inter- national foundations. This year, I’ve made an effort to maintain a slightly more normal work- ing routine, and that’s working so and so... the workday is long, and of course it’s tiring. I wouldn’t want to burn myself out, but fortunately I am relatively healthy and I have good stamina. So I plan on main- taining the juice in my batteries. I can’t hide that it’s trying, and it’s not just the work that affects you. The environment and atmosphere surrounding the job is also a factor. We are not immune to the discourse and various jabs pointed at us, but I try to maintain an understanding that the public’s vocal dissatisfaction and our status in the polls doesn’t necessarily mean that people are unhappy with what we’re doing or that it could be any differ- ent. I try to remember that there is so much repressed rage and unhappiness, people are angry over what happened and it is normal to criticise the powers that be at any time. Of course there are many that believe we could have done more, for instance to assist families with their debt. There a lot of talk regarding that, and it is hard to be in the position to have to say that we are trying our best but we simply cannot do more. This is our reality. There are limits to what we can do; we are in a difficult position. We will have to slowly defeat this thing, we will have to be patient, understanding and maintain unity. We gain nothing from strife and struggle; we need to row together on the same boat, in the right direction. We can do this. But all marathons have a fin- ishing line... where do you see yours? Our ultimate goal is to get our society and our economy back in working order, to envision being on top of our debt and not needing outside help, to get unem- ployment down to reasonable numbers. There is more than one goal; we will mea- sure our success incrementally. A nation does not live to fulfil a single goal; it is a constant evolving story with peaks and valleys. WTf! What happened? you are privy to a lot of information that the general public isn’t, so it seems fair to ask: What happened? How do we explain it to our in- ternational readership? What I think happened is that firstly, we got addicted to an ideology. The ide- ology of neo-liberalism and blind faith in ‘the market’ was steadily promoted to the nation, and Icelanders adopted its attitudes and tenets to an extreme and blindly trod forth. Iceland was, for all purposes, trans- formed into a laboratory, a testing ground for greedy neo-liberal, privatisation ideals. They privatised the banks and various other state enterprises alongside pushing an environment of deregulation and lax supervision. A group of young and energetic men surfaced that took advantage of this environment to the full extent. All of the sudden we were the best in the world, we were experts at banking and finance and thought we could teach established nations, like Denmark, how to do business. We were beset by a puerile and nouveau riche arrogance, an entire generation lost all moral restraint. People f launted their wealth and boasted of it, they could only travel in private jets and the f lamboyance and vulgarity surround- ing Iceland was such that it got noticed the world round. Their dishonest business practices along with the government’s many fail- ures in managing the economy added to a problem that was too big to handle. One only needed to look at the gauges to see where we were headed in 2006-7, to see things were going seriously wrong. Some people tried to point this out, the occasional banker or scholar—and myself. I wrote articles, I gave speeches, I wrote an entire book where I warned of the path we were taking. But we were too few. The environment and zeitgeist at the time was such that warning voices were laughed off, at best. This was a dangerous atmosphere, any healthy introspection or self-criticism was totally absent. I have remarked that what happened at the core was the complete defeat of critical think- ing. We lost control of ourselves and of the situation, and it can never be allowed to happen again. You can analyse this from various per- spectives. The economical one, but also from a political, ideological and social standpoint. It is important that we don’t overlook any of these factors when we try to understand what happened here. The never-ending party you say you warned that this would happen, but you evidently had no success. Do you feel you should have employed different methods? Well... [laughs]... I’ve thought a lot about that. Truth be told, I am troubled by it and feel like I need to look inwards, just like others. Why did we, who saw the signs, who knew something was deeply wrong, why did we fail in getting our voices heard. When I try to seek explanation I feel it isn’t because I didn’t try hard enough. I resorted to every mean at my disposal, I wrote articles, I gave speeches, I put forth several motions in Parliament to try and reclaim economic stability. I submitted the first one in 2005, I was deeply wor- ried about the situation back then and in the accompanying statement I portrayed the risks facing us. I even explicitly say in one place: “All the same signs are appear- ing in Iceland that lead to the Scandina- vian banking recession around 1990. We are headed for the same kind of bubble, which is very dangerous.” One of the reasons this was so hard was that there were so few of us that ac- tively opposed this ideology. It had a nice ring to it, and claimed to usher in a new era of globalisation, innovation and evo- lution. The party was so fun that nobody wanted to ruin it and say: “Alright, it’s two in the morning and we all need to go home.” It was like everyone thought the party would last forever; that there would The Reykjavík Grapevine Issue 15 — 2010 15 you may foster an ideology and lots of ideas on how to do things, but they ultimately clash with reality.

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