Iceland review - 2014, Side 41

Iceland review - 2014, Side 41
ICELAND REVIEW 39 them. The Kvanefjeld mine in Greenland is another big project worth mentioning, con- taining so-called rare earth minerals, which are currently in high demand as they are necessary ingredients in cell phones and car batteries. Currently the largest mines are in Inner Mongolia, China, which has restricted exports of the minerals. The Kvanefjeld mine is bigger than the Isua one but also more controversial as one of its side products would be uranium. The Dragon zone, which lies on the Jan Mayen Ridge, is split between Icelandic and Norwegian waters. Icelanders have opened up their side of the area and three licenses are being worked on. Norway will most likely open up their side in the next couple of years. It is believed that as much as up to 10 billion barrels of oil could be found in the area. A bigger prospect would be Kanumas on the northeast coast of Greenland, where geologists expect 30 bil- lion barrels to be found. For comparison, around 50 billion barrels are to be found in the Norwegian Sea. THE fuTurE IS BrIgHT A more interesting and promising area than the Arctic is hard to find. In the next decades this last frontier will be fully mapped out and the resources will be tapped. Iceland needs to understand that it is not within its power to affect these factors; they are exog- enous factors. Icelanders should discuss these changes and be aware of the trends since it faces the choice between participating and simply having the opportunities pass them by. There are certain internal factors which Iceland needs to work on, but those are endogenous and fully under our control. In my opinion, there are four systemic faults in the Icelandic economy which need to be addressed: the capital controls and monetary policy, the debt burden and size of the public sector, the faulty financial system and finally the utilization of resources. In my book Norðurslóðasókn (2013) I propose a plan on how to tackle these problems and argue that it can all be done within one year. With its ice-free harbors the whole year around, excellent infrastructure, great inter- national airport and strong health care and service sector, Iceland is extremely lucky; it is in a unique position to benefit from the promising future in the Arctic. I believe Iceland should actively participate in this future, since it is hardly a responsible attitude to simply ignore what is happening outside our jurisdiction. We need to make sure that the developments are managed in a responsible manner and do not harm the environment. We have an excellent example in the area, set by Norway, a country famous for its responsible use of resources as well as respect for nature. Icelanders can enjoy an enviable future. The trends are certainly moving in our favor. We only need to choose wisely how to par- ticipate in the upcoming developments.  Heiðar Guðjónsson is an Icelandic economist. He is the chairman of Eykon Energy, one of the companies granted a license for exploration and production of hydrocarbons in the Dragon Zone. Heiðar also runs his own investment company, Ursus. Foreign interest in Greenlandic territory is increasing dramatically, and almost every week it receives international delegations trying to find out what opportunities lie beneath the ice cap. Geographically speaking, Iceland is the youngest country on Earth; it is arguably still in formation. The oldest rocks in Iceland are around 16 million years old, in the West Fjords, whereas Greenland has the oldest rocks on Earth, dating back approximately 4,000 million years. These rocks carry most of the elements of the periodic table and, for instance, Isua, a small island located 160 km (100 miles) northeast of the capital Nuuk, is extremely rich in iron ore. London Mining is hoping to gain permission in the next few months to build a mine there, which will deliver 1 billion dollars in free cash flow, annually over 20 years. That amounts to 50 percent of Greenland’s GDP, every year. Greenland is therefore transforming, and the old way of life will probably disappear for- ever in the next few years. Since Isua has no infrastructure, and currently no inhabitants, it is hard to do anything there except to extract the rock, unrefined. But that is where Iceland comes in; where we have an abundance of electricity and ports and we could easily refine the iron ore in Iceland were there interest in that. The Isua project is only one example of buildup in the Arctic; there are many more projects. And the collaboration of Arctic countries is needed to efficiently utilize Þýfigata, road 85 on Melrakkaslétta.

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