Reykjavík Grapevine - 08.01.2010, Blaðsíða 11

Reykjavík Grapevine - 08.01.2010, Blaðsíða 11
The Reykjavík Grapevine Issue 01 — 2010 11 pay. This was the second bill, now re- ferred to as Icesave 2, the first one hav- ing been declined by the British and the Dutch. At the time of writing, the nation had just learned that President Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson declined signing the bill – thereby effectively vetoing it and subjecting it to a national referendum. As Grímsson pondered his move, he must surely have looked into the burden of debt, to the constitutional ramifications of his signature, but also to his own legacy. Grímsson, a real po- litical animal who used to be the chair- man of the socialist People’s Alliance up to the early nineties, has managed to become the only president in the history of the Icelandic republic who is actively unpopular and a figure of ridi- cule. Many of his sayings during the boom years are now a source of embar- rassment and he and his wife, wealthy socialite Dorrit Moussaief, are said to have become groupies of the finan- ciers, the so-called 'venture Vikings’. Indeed, shortly after news of his veto (and subsequent news of harsh reactions by Dutch and UK govern- ments), loud and strongly worded calls for his resignation had already started echoing through local discourse. Grímsson's veto might spell the end of the present left-wing government— ironically, as he comes from the left wing himself—but it might also turn into a constitutional crisis as Icesave goes back and forth from the govern- ment, to the parliament and then to the president, hitherto a symbolic figure in the vein of the Scandinavian monarchs in their Lego palaces. The moment of truth should come on February 1st, when a special com- mittee, appointed by Alþingi, will deliver a 1.500 page report on the col- lapse. The members of the committee are still held in a measure of respect by the public, but it must be noted that two of them are also members of the old guard: one being the parliamentary ombudsman, the other a judge of the High Court who, as a law professor, used to do a lot of work for the former government. The third is a relatively unknown Harvard-trained economist. The chairman of the committee was quoted last year as saying that he would have seriously bad news for the population. Even so, many dread that the findings will be, maybe not a white- wash, but that they will be so muddled as to be an endless source of interpreta- tion, strife and spin. Those who have most to lose from the report have already organised themselves. In one of the most bizarre twists Icelandic politics has seen, for- mer PM, former Central Bank man- ger, the force behind the privatisation of the Icelandic bank system—and, some say, architect of the collapse it- self, Davíð Oddsson—was made editor of Morgunblaðið, formerly the most prestigious newspaper in the country. In a matter of weeks the paper turned into a vehicle for Oddsson and his cronies, the subscribers dis- appeared in droves and now little re- mains of the old prestige. This is not only a battle for political power, but also for what will be written in the history books. What then about the legacy of the pots and pans revolution? In a way, it reminds one of T.E. Law- rence, who in the early pages of The Seven Pillars of Wisdom talks about the fate of his own revolt in the desert. The old guys came back and stole the revolution. After the burning of the Oslo Christmas tree things quickly fell back into place. Parliamentary elec- tions were held, and the old political parties—the ‘four parties’ as they are called in Iceland—basically held out. We got a left-wing government but it is not doing things very differently from what the old government would do. Ice- land is subject to a strict IMF program; most of the government’s moves are forced. Icesave has yet to boil into riots. Up un- til now the protests in front of parlia- ment have been muted; the strongest sign of protest being a list of signatures against Icesave 2 with a sizable part of the electorate putting their names on it. Taxes have been raised on the bet- ter off—very few people are really rich in post-collapse Iceland—so we might yet see the upper classes coming down to rattle their jewellery down in Aus- turvöllur square, in front of Alþingi. This doesn’t seem likely, though. For now, the nation seems rather set- tled in its grumbling ways; a cloud of depression and discontent hovers over the country. But mood changes can be swift in this Nordic place where the arctic night now holds the reins. This is a great change from the silly euphoria of the boom years, with all its imagined victories on the stage of global finance. Many now say that the best we can do is to keep on fishing and churning out al- uminium from our smelters; that this is a good enough vision for the future. Even the IMF talks about Iceland being a production economy for a long time, while debts are being paid. But, it has to be admitted, that for the young people of this country this seems to be a rather gloomy outlook. Politics | 2009 JULY As support for the initial Icesave deal waned, support for the conservative Inde- pendence Party grew to being the strongest in the country. Parlia- ment voted to apply for EU membership. Some new cases of swine flu were confirmed in Ice- land. A top-secret document neatly outlin- ing the identities of 205 international enti- ties in receipt of individual loans exceeding €45 million (the largest of which totalling €1250 million) from Kaupþing was leaked to the internet July 29th via WikiLeaks. AUGUST The Ministry of For- eign Affairs signed an agreement with Chinese authorities to take part in the EXPO 2010 in Shanghai, and parliament continued to cobble away at Ic- esave. Not a really eventful month, except for the fact that the normally reserved Prime Minister wrote a column for the Financial Times. There she said that Icelanders were willing to make sacrifices to rebuild the economy, but added, “Iceland will not be deterred from resolving issues that stand in the way of economic reconstruction at home and con- fidence-building abroad. It is to be hoped that the people of large countries such as the UK and the Netherlands are aware of the lasting impact their governments can have on small countries such as ours at a time of great distress.” SEPTEMBER Iconic Icelandic pro- tester Helgi Hóseas- son died at the age of 89. The shadowy group known as Skapofsi continued to vandalize the homes of Iceland's captains of finance. The Skapofsi group is still at large and oc- casionally sends out messages with photos of its latest con- quests. Political party Civic Movement was forced to re-invent itself after an embar- rassing inter-party e-mail was leaked to the media, revealing back-talking and bicker- ing that ultimately led to MP Þráinn Ber- telsson leaving the party altogether. But the top story of the month was former Central Bank chairman and legendary conserva- tive politician Davíð Oddsson being named the co-editor of newspaper Morgunblaðið, while over 40 journalists were fired from the paper. The move gained international atten- tion, scorn from journalist unions at home and abroad, and cancelled subscriptions by the hundreds. News | Paul Nikolov The Year In Brief “Grímsson, a real political animal who used to be the chairman of the socialist People’s Alliance up to the early nineties, has managed to become the only president in the history of the Icelandic republic who is actively unpopular and a figure of ridicule." 2009 | Haukur Már Helgason Prestissimo “Andóf” is Icelandic for resistance. As so much of Icelandic’s abstract vocabulary, it originates among seafarers. Once an open boat had ar- rived at its destination on open sea, and the sailors had laid their lines, two men in back kept rowing against the stream to keep the boat put. Thus andóf is not meant to change a situation, but to work against a current for the sake of the status quo. Most of last winter’s andófsmenn may not have wanted to simply support the status quo with their action, but that may be all the move- ment did. Effectively, the protest movement’s demand now seems to have been: Stop us or we might do something. And the state obeyed, did what it could to hold back a people scared of its own potential and called an election. Through a change in government, the republic held. So far, no constitutional con- vention has been announced. The new gov- ernment is making some left-wing amend- ments, reinforcing taxes on wealth that were abolished to make Iceland a ‘capitalist’s para- dise’ as one banker phrased it in his recent memoirs. Fundamentally, though, everything remains the same: As soon as the banks, na- tionalised in autumn 2008, had been relieved of their losses, the socialists re-privatised the profitable parts of their business—swiftly, even without hesitation. As 70% of Icelandic busi- ness is de facto bankrupt, this means that pri- vate interest will determine their fate, and not public interest—they are already beyond politi- cal debate. Adagio Total national debt amounts to €28 billion. This is not incomprehensible, you only have to divide with the population to realise the mean- ing of the figure: one way or another each of the country’s 300 some thousand inhabitants must donate € 96 thousand worth to pay these debts. Of these, € 37 thousand will be collect- ed from each by the state, through taxation, cuts in services and other measures, while the rest will be privately collected, through higher prices, lower wages—any means of exploita- tion will do. In a country with no tradition of sacrificial ceremonies, co-dependency with the debt holders is likely to become a silent, shameful part of everyday existence, breeding contempt and resentment. Financial minister Steingrímur J. Sigfússon may very well be right that ‘Iceland will get out of this,’ thanks to what is often mislabelled as ‘hard work morals’ but is better described as a tradition of obedience. Whereas the right wing employs analogies with seafaring, Sig- fússon refers to farming: the farmers thought they could spend their days on the town! There exists another left, which never adhered to the cause of making everyone a worker, but in freedom, as the opposite of forced labour. There also exist honest people in the right- wing constituency who really thought that capitalism meant hard work would bring re- wards. Both groups are now disillusioned to the point of apathy. At the end of a messy year, in a heap of stale words, this one thing remains clear: no matter who is in charge, a great num- ber of Iceland’s inhabitants will be consider- ably less free to choose what to do with their time for at least the next decade or two, than they would have been if that psychotic mon- ster neoliberalism hadn’t run amok. Rubato It was not the collapse that was catastrophic, but the build-up and the blindness. A coun- try blindly adhered to the outrageous dogma that if money only had its way, good things would follow. Whatever would not come about through sheer monetary magic would then be taken care of by the inherent greatness of Ice- landers, by way of racial magic. The economic collapse merely unveiled the scale of the in- tended exploitation. Protestors stood up to the shame of the past decade and helped cover up the gap of impossibility by bringing about an election. Through a quixotic effort the andófsmenn kept the island in place. As acceptance sets in and words lose their effectiveness, the volun- tary leaders of last winter’s uprising turn into nagging eccentrics again. The new captain’s promises to distribute the rowing demanded from each fairly, according capabilities. To make new oars for those who have none. That the sailors will be kept alive and breeding. That their offspring will be nurtured and taught to row as well. And so, those with oars keep on rowing, rattling their oars to celebrate the New Year beneath fireworks in the fog. An Icesave approaches on larboard, please steer past it, will you … What else happened in 2009? Michael Jackson died. His Neverland ranch was dis- solved and auctioned, too. The score of 2009 2009: Politics & Life 2009 | Valur Gunnarsson, Journalist / Writer Ol’ Karl Marx said that history always repeats itself; the first time as tragedy, the second time as farce. Commentators particularly loved re- peating that phrase after the collapse of the Soviet Union. But this is Iceland. We do things differently. Previously, the only event in Icelandic his- tory to be called a revolution took place in the summer of 1809. An English soap salesman and a Danish adventurer named Jorgen Jor- gensen came ashore in the midst of the Napo- leonic Wars, took over the undefended island and announced that Iceland was now free and independent and a national flag showing three fish on a blue field would be introduced along with human rights and such. They were soon escorted away by the Royal Navy and Jorgen was called the “Dog Day King” by bemused lo- cals in honour of his roughly two months in of- fice. Over a century later, the event was turned into a stage farce by Jónas Árnason. The revolution of 2009 certainly had its farcical elements (singing, dancing, every- thing said by ex-PM Geir Haarde). But in the background was a national tragedy, eighteen years of economic mismanagement by the In- dependence Party which led to the economic collapse of 2008. After the Revolution Were the events of January 2009 a true revo- lution? Iceland seems, despite everything, to have been pretty responsibly run for the past year, which is in itself revolutionary. However, no one is happy with the outcome. Inevitably, the Independence Party now blames the rul- ing Left Coalition for the effects of the eco- nomic collapse, conveniently forgetting that the whole disaster happened on their watch. Now taxes must be raised and public spending cut down. Everyone from sailors to filmmakers, parents to seniors, denounce the government as each group must in turn suffer cuts, blam- ing the one pulling the trigger rather than the one who loaded and aimed the gun. Many of the leading protesters of January have already left the country while the main ar- chitect of the collapse, former PM Davíð Odds- son, is busy rewriting history as the new editor of Morgunblaðið. The same people who bank- rupted the country are still largely in charge of their indebted business empires. On the face of it, little has changed. The Rainbow Revolution And yet, something did happen in January 2009. Not quite like Red October 1917 or the first Bastille Day in 1789, but something of consequence nonetheless. Perhaps it can best be compared to the colour-coded revolutions in Eastern Europe, where people rose peace- fully to eject elected leaders who were doing the country harm and could not be gotten rid of in any other way. The people of Iceland showed, for once, that they could and would take matters into their own hands. Everything that has hap- pened since has been a direct consequence of January. The election of a new Icelandic gov- ernment last spring, following Obama’s oath of office on the very day the Icelandic Revolution started, inspired hope of a brave new world for many. Then, everything got bogged down. Over here it was Icesave, whereas Obama has had to spend most of his time arguing with reluc- tant countrymen about the benefits of health care rather than changing the world with broad strokes. The Big Squeeze By December, the beacons of hope that were lit (and frequently extinguished by police) on Austurvöllur last January had grown ever dim- mer. The biggest surprise of the aftermath of the revolution was not that people felt let down. Expectations are raised and not every- thing can be changed overnight. Nor was it all that surprising that the Independence Party has largely succeeded in rewriting history to their own benefit. As the name implies, this is precisely what they do best. No, the biggest surprise came in the run up to Christmas, when shopping seemed as busy as ever. With prices at a record high, rising unemployment, tax increases and wage cuts, this should be the most expensive Christmas yet for punters. But that did not deter them. Even before the collapse, Icelanders had to pay more than any- one else for most products, and yet its con- sumerism was unparalleled. Now they have to pay even more. With longer working hours than most countries, I had always assumed that Icelanders were being squeezed to the limit. It must have come as a pleasant surprise to the happy few who control the monopolies to see their countrymen can be squeezed quite a bit more. Longer hours, worse pay, pricier products. This is the promise of a new year. It’s going to be a cold January once the credit card bills start coming in. Hopefully, things will heat up a bit in February, when the long promised report on the reasons for the crises is due to be published. That might not only be the fulfilment of the hopes of January 2009, but also the nation’s last hope for justice. If this too fails to deliver, we can expect stories set in our times to be more tragic than farcical. 2009: The Year of Revolution

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