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Jökull - 01.01.2011, Qupperneq 46

Jökull - 01.01.2011, Qupperneq 46
J. Tarasewicz et al. tificially shallow levels. This would imply unusually high velocities above the source region, distributed such that travel times were reduced significantly to the proximal temporary stations but not to the more dis- tant permanent stations. We view this interpretation as unnecessarily convoluted and unlikely compared to the simpler interpretation that the deep locations in- ferred by using only the more distant stations are the result of sub-optimal network geometry. Our analysis also disproves the notion that the true depth of seismicity is ∼10 km, and that artificially shallow hypocentres at ∼5 km might simply be the re- sult of switching between VM1 and VM2. Rather, the choice of velocity model is shown to be only a sec- ondary factor in determining the hypocentral depth in this situation. Instead, our synthetic tests and inversions of the earthquake data when the temporary stations are in- cluded indicate that the true depth of our test events is shallower than 6 km. Inverting arrival times from our real sample earthquakes using our preferred param- eters (velocity model VM1 and including data from all available stations) returns hypocentral depths of 5–6 km (Figure 5a). However, Figure 8a shows that even if VM1 is a good approximation of the true ve- locity structure, hypocentral depths of 5±1 km would be found for all true source depths in the range ∼2–6 km. This is because the geometry of the network lim- its resolution at shallow depths, even when data from all stations are included in the inversion. On the other hand, inverting the arrival times from our real sample earthquakes using VM2 returns hypocentral depths of 2–4 km (Figure 5b). However, we have shown that hypocentral depths shallower than ∼4 km are not well constrained by the network in this epicentral region, even when data from all stations are included. The only scenario in which our synthetic tests produce best-fit hypocentres at such shallow depths is when a velocity model that deviates from the true velocity structure is used to invert the data. In that scenario, the best-fit hypocentral locations are in fact too shallow compared to the true source depths. For the specific case in which synthetics generated using a true velocity model VM1 are inverted using the ’wrong’ VM2, the shallow hypocentres found for the real data (using VM2, Figure 5b) match the ar- tificially shallow depths of synthetic hypocentres for true source depths of ∼2–6 km (Figure 8c). There- fore, the behaviour of the hypocentral solutions for the real test data when inverted with both VM1 and VM2 is consistent with the true earthquake hypocen- tres lying within the 2–6 km depth range. Whilst not conclusive, the synthetic tests suggest that the more scattered hypocentral solutions in the ∼2–4 km depth range for the real test events are likely to be poorly constrained and may hint at material deviations from the true velocity structure in velocity model VM2. Therefore, whilst the synthetic and real data clearly indicate that the true depths of our test events are <6 km, it is harder to distinguish between well re- solved hypocentres of true sources at ∼4–6 km depth and apparent hypocentral locations in the same 4– 6 km depth range that derive from earthquakes with true source depths of 2–4 km. The observed pat- tern of hypocentral depths obtained by inverting the earthquake data with VM1 (5–6 km) and VM2 (2–4 km) could be obtained either for well resolved true sources at 5–6 km depth, or for incorrectly located true sources at 2–3 km depth (Figures 8a and 8c). Our synthetic tests suggest that true sources shallower than ∼2 km would have apparent hypocentral locations at depths >6 km and therefore should be distinguishable from true sources in the 2–6 km depth range. On the basis of seismic data alone, we cannot con- clusively say whether our test events really are well resolved at ∼5 km depth, as suggested by inversion using our preferred parameters (Figure 5a). However, this remains our preferred interpretation (compared to the alternative interpretation that the true sources are at 2–3 km depth) because it is in agreement with the position of a sill inferred from surface deformation data to be inflating at 4–6 km depth (Sigmundsson et al., 2010). These authors also model an inflating dyke (in combination with the sill) to fit the surface defor- mation observations. This modelled dyke extends to very shallow levels (10s to 100s of metres from the surface), and hence may be consistent with the ob- served seismicity being towards the shallower end of the 2–6 km depth range. However, the modelled dyke is located towards the eastern end of the seismically 46 JÖKULL No. 61, 2011
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