Iceland review - 2012, Blaðsíða 62

Iceland review - 2012, Blaðsíða 62
60 ICELAND REVIEW POLITICs Já Ísland is the Icelandic pro-EU move- ment. The name translates to: ‘yes, Iceland.’ And its slogan is: ‘A nation among nations.’ Já Ísland provides numerous arguments for joining the EU. These include: + Food prices would be much lower due to customs tariff elimination on imported goods. + The euro introduces price stability. Inflation, which has been around 6 percent in Iceland in past decades, will arguably be reduced to 1 to 3 percent. Real interest rates, which have been close to 6 percent, are likely to drop to between 1 and 3 per- cent as well. + Inflation indexation of loans will also become unnecessary. As a consequence, mortgage loan payments would be greatly reduced. Today, when Icelandic homeown- ers have repaid their mortgages, they have paid an amount that equals the price of 2.7 houses when interests are taken into account. In the eurozone, people pay back a house and a half. + The EU offers strong regional policy, supporting employment in the member states’ more rural regions. The northern- most regions of Iceland will get support from the EU funds. + Iceland has already adopted much of the EU legislation (through the EEA) without having had a say in it. Within the EU, Icelanders can influence the legisla- tion. Heimssýn (‘World vision’) is the Icelandic anti-EU movement. Its goal is simple: ‘Keep Iceland outside the EU.’ Its slogan reads: ‘Stop this nonsense. Say no to the EU.’ Heimssýn provides numerous argu- ments for not joining the EU. Here are some of them: – Iceland will lose its sovereignty. It will lose the right to make independent trade agreements with other countries, lose control over its tariff environment and the country’s highest court will be transferred to the EU. Iceland would also lose control over its 200-mile fisheries zone. – The EU is evolving from a union of nations into a superpower similar to the United States. Because of how small Iceland is, it would have little impact on the decisions made within the EU. – The center of power is distant from Iceland. The officials in Brussels are locat- ed 2,000 kilometers away. Why should they be trusted to solve local issues? – In the future, the EU will become a military power conscripting Icelandic youth. – Icelandic agriculture would suffer greatly, losing its customs protection. It would result in unemployment and a drop in exports. It is also a matter of food security, to maintain domestic food pro- duction. THe nexT STePS Iceland is currently in the middle of the EU negotiation process. Considerable efforts are needed to find a solution on the following subjects: free flow of capital (this is actually a part of the EEA agreement, but Iceland has not been able to fulfill the conditions since the crash of 2008); agri- culture and rural development; fisheries; and economic and monetary policy. Negotiations could finish in the spring of 2013. That means that there will prob- ably be a parliamentary election before the end of the application process. This leaves the potential for an interest- ing twist. The Independence Party, the party currently leading in the polls, has the policy of immediately bringing the negotiation process to an end. If the Independence Party gets the majority of votes in the 2013 election, it might gain a leading position in the next govern- ment and put the question on whether to continue the EU talks to a national referendum. Paradoxically, this is done in the name of democracy: the referendum would leave it to the voter to determine whether he or she should be able to decide whether to join the EU. We can argue, using the same logic, that it is only fair to add yet another election, asking the voter to vote on voting on voting on joining the EU. This dangerous way of thinking can easily turn into an infinite loop of pretty hard choices. As for me, I will make my decision when the contract is ready. The deal breaker will undoubtedly be the chapter on fisheries, and I feel that many Icelanders share my opinion. And once I’ve decided, I want to vote.  The ARGumenTS AGAInST JoInInG The eu The ARGumenTS FoR JoInInG The eu
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