Vinnumarkaður - 01.09.1996, Qupperneq 27

Vinnumarkaður - 01.09.1996, Qupperneq 27
Synopsis of methods and concepts 25 This means that in 19 surveys out of 20 the mean unemploy- ment in 1995 would have been estimated between 6,200 and 8,200. Estimates with relative standard error exceeding 20% are marked with an asterisk (*), cf., e.g., Table 2.4. Non-sampling errors. There are three categories of non- sampling errors: Coverage errors, non-response errors and other errors. Coverage errors. The sampling frame consists of persons with domicile in Iceland. A certain portion of these reside abroad for more than 6 months, however, because of work or study. Only a small number of these people actually register their foreign residence at the National Register. This results in an over-coverage of the survey population and a corre- sponding bias in estimates. All estimates have been corrected on basis of the sample to remove this bias (cf. Table 2.4). Under-coverage errors havenotbeen detected to any degree. Non-response errors. Males are more difficult to reach than females, both because of absence from home or non-contact. Y oung people have ahigher non-contact rate than older people and inhabitants of the capital region are more difficult to contact than others. Refusals are more prevalent among women, inhabitants of the capital region and older persons. Response rates are, however, higher for women, people outside the capital region and middle-aged persons as these are less likely to be away fromhome or not to be found (Table 2.5). To counter possible non-response bias the results have been weighted by sex and age group information from the National Register. No use was made of residence data, as these are less reliable than other data. It is more difficult to adjust for non-response bias directly related to the subject matter of a labour force survey. Certain occupational groups are more difficult to contact than others, e.g., fishermen. From November 1993 this has been dealt with by asking close family members of the sampled individuals to answer the questionnaire. The number of proxy answers is, however, less than one percent of all responses. In most cases the item non-response has been corrected for in order to preserve consistency in totals as well as to counter bias resulting from non-response. Two main methods have been used. Firstly, a predicted answer has been deduced frorn the answers of similar respondents. Missing data on working hours were, e.g., replaced by regression coefficients from a regression analysis using sex, full-time/part-time employ- ment and occupational group as independent variables. Sec- ondly, the most probable response category has been deduced from other responses by the respondent either in the same survey or other surveys in which he or she participated. Other errors. Other errors are classified into three categories in this context: Interviewer errors, processing errors, and designerrors. Interviewererrors are those resulting from wrong recording of answers, omission of questions, wrong routes in the questionnaires or the rephrasing of questions by an inter- viewer. These errors were more pronounced before the com- puterisation of the interviewing process. These errors have mainly been dealt with by hiring only experienced interviewers, by interviewer training and special meetings with interviewers before each survey. Processing errors. Before computerisation of the survey in November 1992, errors sometimes happened when data from paper questionnaires were entered into computer files. Coding of certain open questions, especially regarding occu- pation, economic activity and educational level is also prone to errors. These errors have mainly been dealt with by using experi- enced coders, by careful editing of these variables and system- atic searches for inconsistencies. Design errors. During the first three years, the question- naire has undergone changes, although the main body of questions has stayed the same. This is especially true with regard to the phrasing of certain questions and their sequence. During the period many questions have also been added in order to conform more fully to the requirements of the EEA agreement. Bias related to these sources is not known. The following are three examples of known design errors relating to wording of questions, the frequency of the survey and annual estimates and the rotation scheme. Wording ofquestions. Until April 1994 the sub-category “unpaid family worker’’ was distinguished in the question- naire by the wording “works at a family business/with spouse, parents or children”. This led to confusion as to who in the family business are self-employed and who are unpaid family workers, notwithstanding the validity of this distinction in a modern society. Since November 1994 the sub-category was rephrased to “works at a family business without pay” and the interviewers were given special instructions as how to make the distinction. This resulted in a “drop” in the number of unpaid family workers from approximately 2.6% to 1.1%. Frequency ofthe survey andannual estimates. As the Iabour force survey is only conducted twice each year, estimates of totals which are subject to seasonal variations can differ from the true totals. Using registered unemployment in April and November 1975-1995 as compared with the annual averages in this period as a benchmark, the estimates of the annual total using only these two months seem to be somewhat conserva- tive on the average and approximately non-biased during the period from 1988-1995 (cf. Figure 2.1). Renewal ofthe sample. As each rotation group is selected by a simple random sampling with equal sampling fraction across age cohorts, the two youngest age groups are underrepresented in the sample. This results in biased esti- mates of the total labour force participation rate as these age cohorts have a lower labour force participation than the average. This has been dealt with by using a weighting scheme with age groups 16, 17, 18-19 and thereafter at five-year intervals. As mentioned above, from November 1994 the sampling scheme was altered in order to ensure proportionate representation of these two age cohorts. 3.1.4. Concepts Main activity. In four tables (Tables 6.58-6.61) the data are classified according to main activity status, which differs from the ILO recommendations. Employed persons in these tables are those whose usual hours of work are 12 hours or more per week, whereas unemployed people are those who are actively seeking employment, with the exception of students who are only looking for a part-time job. Economically inactive per- sons are classified according to their reported status.
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