Vinnumarkaður - 01.06.1995, Qupperneq 26

Vinnumarkaður - 01.06.1995, Qupperneq 26
24 Synopsis of methods and concepts 3. Synopsis of Methods and Concepts The main part of this synopsis deals with the Icelandic Labour Force Survey (ILFS), its methods, reliability and principal concepts. Other data sources are described in a similar manner. 3.1 The Icelandic Labour Force Survey 3.1.1. Previous labour force statistics The principal source for labour force statistics in Iceland has for a long time been based on information on working weeks derived from tax retums as well as the official registration of unemployment. These data, however, have many short- comings, e.g., little possibility of analysis according to various socio-economic groups, lack of important variables such as working hours and status in employment, and lack of intemational comparability. For these reasons Statistics Iceland (SI) decided to start its own labour force survey in 1991 based on international standards. The first such survey was conducted in April 1991 and since then there has been a survey twice a year, in April and November. 3.1.2. Execution Questionnaire. The ILFS questionnaire is based on compa- rable questionnaires in the Nordic countries. The question- naire has also been developed so that standardized data can be sent to Eurostat according to the EEA agreement. Ques- tions of particular national interest have also been included. In the course of the first three years of the ILFS the questionnaire has changed considerably, even though the main core of questions has remained the same. Many questions have been added, some have been discarded while others have been rephrased. Survey periods and number of interviewers. Each survey has one reference week. As each survey is conducted for 10-11 days, the reference week is moved forward after the seventh day for the remaining respondents (Table 2.1). Usually the first reference week is the first or second week of the interview month. From November 1991 interviewers have been hired from outside the SI. For the most part the interviewers have had previous experience in working with telephone surveys. Each survey is conducted by approximately 20 interviewers. Before each survey the interviewers are trained in conduct- ing interviews and working with the computer aided inter- viewing system. Data gathering. All interviews in the ILFS are telephone interviews. Most interviews take place in the evenings and during weekends, except for interviews by appointment during normal working hours. Telephone numbers for re- spondents are provided by the Post and Telecommunication Administration. Considerable effort is made to reach par- ticipants who have moved or do not have a telephone. No participant is visited, however. In November 1992 computer aided telephone interview- ing (CATI) was introduced, using the Dutch program, BLAISE. This has proved to save both time and effort as well as reducing interviewer errors. In November 1992 and April 1993 answers to open questions about economic activity and occupation continued to be handwritten but since November 1993 all responses have been entered immediately into a computer by the interviewers. Sample and response. The sampling frame for the ILFS is drawn from the National Register comprising all Icelandic and foreign citizens, 16-74 years of age, with domicile in Iceland at the time of the survey. Icelandic persons who are students outside Scandinavian countries are allowed to retain their domicile in Iceland, whereas students in other Nordic countries are required by Nordic agreements to transfer their registration to the respective country. In order to treat both groups of students in the same manner, all persons who reside abroad for more than 6 months are defined as ineligible in the final sampling frame. This differs somewhat from intemational convention where all students abroad are considered as part of the population, irrespective of length of study. The sample is a rotating panel sample of approximately 4,400 indi viduals selected by simple random method without replacement from the sampling frame. The sample is divided into four rotation groups of approx. 1,100 individuals, each of which participates in four successive surveys. The sample units are replaced into the sampling frame when four years have elapsed from their first being selected. In the first survey in April 1991 the size of the sample was 3,000, randomly divided into three rotation groups, the first of which remained in the sample for four times, the second participated three times and the third was dropped from the sample after the second survey. In the second to fifth surveys sampled indi viduals who had previously refused to answer or were not able to participate due to illness or disability were not contacted again. The number of people contacted was thus smaller than the actual sample. In November 1993 refusers (from earlier surveys) were recontacted. Of these 37% refused again, 52% re- sponded, 7% were not at home and 4% were unable to answer due to illness or disability. In 1994 this effort of refusal conversion was continued, albeit with less success. The net response rate in the ILFS 1992-1994, i.e. the number of respondents as percentage of all eligible sample units, has been between 85 and 91%. The actual cooperation rate, i.e. number of respondents as percentage of the net working sample, was between 90 and 93% in the same period (cf. Table 2.2). 3.1.3. Reliability Errors in a sample survey fall roughly into two categories: Sampling errors and non-sampling errors. This section deals mostly with the errors that have affected the ILFS and is not a comprehensive discussion of sample errors in general. Sampling errors. Every sample incurs uncertainty due to the method of sampling. Because of the random nature of this uncertainty, it is possible to calculate the confidence limits for the estimated numbers. These are shown in Table 2.3 for the 95% confidence level. If, e.g., the mean number
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