Jökull

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Jökull - 01.12.1967, Qupperneq 42

Jökull - 01.12.1967, Qupperneq 42
years, which corresponds to 1.5 m3/sec increase in the discharge of the Kolgríma river. The average thinning per year of the measured glacier area was about 110 cm in water equi- valent. Conclusions No empirical conclusion can be drawn from these observations because they are too un- precise and do not cover field enough, yet they give some idea concerning some important points. The average annual thinning of Langjökull was found to be 37 cm during the period 1890— 1966, but 60 cm/year in the years 1922—1966. This result is in a good accordance witli com- parable investigations. Thorarinsson (1940) has compiled the results of measurements of the thinning rate of some European and Artic glaciers accomplished in the years 1925—1939. According to these measurements the average annual thinning rate on these glaciers proved to be 37 cm. Liest<J>l (1962) has calculated the average thinning of the Tverrábreen in Norway to have been 85 cm/year during the period 1927—1942. Glacier investigations in Norway in the water budget years 1962/63 and 1963/64 give variation in balance of the glaciers rang- ing from 200 cm/year as an average thinning to 95 cm/year as an average thickening (0strem and Liest/il 1964, Pytti and 0strem 1965). The preceding calculations of the average thinning of some Icelandic glaciers seem to be in a good agreement with comparable invest- igations in Norway. The comparison, there- fore, seems to manifest, that the method used by the present author, is quite usable in cal- culating the variations in the regime of gla- ciers, at least concerning inland ices. The immense shrinkage of glaciers in Ice- land during the last half a century has causecl an increase in the discharge of the glacier rivers almost proportional to the glacier coverecl part of their drainage area. Briefly stated the in- crease in the discharge of the glacier streams exceeds 10%, if 30% or more of their drainage area is covered with glaciers, but the effect of the glacial recession on the discharge of the great rivers, as Thjórsá and Ölfusá, is much less, causing hardly more than 3—4% increase. These results are in good agreement with the increase in air temperature. The average air temperature in Iceland during the last half a century has been about l]/20 C higher than it was in the last century (Bergthorsson 1967), and by this the firn limit has been raisecl for about 100 m. It was not until in the 1920ies that glacier retreat was generally observed (Eythorson 1930), which is in good agreement with the increase in average air temperature. Decrease in winter accumulation can also cause the same trencl, but it can hardly be so in this case, because ameliorating climate is probably followed by increase in precipitation at least in the south- ern part of the country. There has been no halt in the retreat of the larger glaciers in spite of the fact that the average temperature has been somewhat lower in the last three years, but this climatic deme- lioration is hardly comparable to the climate of last century. The present condition of the large glaciers may be far from being in equi- librium with the warmer climate and it is there- fore probable that this recent lowering in tem- perature is not great enough to reverse the present development of these glaciers (Fig. 9). Fig. 9: Tlie profile SS shows a longitudinal section of an inland ice which has attained an equilibrium with a cold climatic epoch. The firn limit of equilibrium is in point A. If now the clirnate becomes warmer, the firn limit is raised to point B, the glacier trends to reach an equilibrium in the profile TT with the firn limit at the point Bi, which lies approxi- mately at the same elevation, or somewhat liigher, than point B, because the firn limit is also dependent on the rate of advance of the glacier. A long time will elapse before tlie glacier reaches the state of equilibrium in the profile TT. During that time the profile ol the glacier is somewhere between the profiles SS and TT, whereoí the profile YY is an ex- 276 JÖKULL 17. ÁR
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