Íslenskar landbúnaðarrannsóknir - 01.03.1979, Side 100

Íslenskar landbúnaðarrannsóknir - 01.03.1979, Side 100
98 ÍSLENZKAR LANDBÚNAÐARRANNSÓKNIR toelt, trot and gallop. This is to be expec- ted since most additive genetic variation is observed for these traits. The trait char- acter (trait 9) has also got a fairly large amount of additive genetic variation. But since this particular trait, as it is judged, is genetically negatively correlated with other traits of more evaluated importance, it gets negative value of b9 in the selection index and the expected response is very slight indeed. One could at íirst sight wonder why trait number 10 (elegance) is so much negatively evaluated in the selec- tion index. The explanation is that this particular trait has got a very low herit- ability and a small variation, but is fairly strongly correlated (both genetically and phenotypically) with other traits having more additive genetic variation. A greater response in the trait ,,elegance“ is there- fore obtained by simultaneous selection on the index than by a sole selection on ,,elegance“ itself (0.069i against 0.048i). Its function in the index then becomes mainly that of indicating the environment for other traits with more additive genetic variation and of more importance. Cunningham (1969) has described a simple method of evaluating the relative contribution, of inclusion of one or more variate in the index, to the rate of response in the aggregate genotype. The variance of a reduced index where ith to jth variates are ignored becomes ali.j = al - b’i. jW_1i..jbi..j wh’ere: bi. j = a vector of the ith to jth veighing factors in the original index Wi..j = the corresponding diagonal sub- matrix of P~' From the variance ratio of the reduced index and original one, it may be shown that, e. g. dropping the variate „pace“ from the index would reduce expected genetic progress for the aggregate geno- type by 25.42% Similarly ignoring „eleg- ance“ would result in loss of 1.52% in terms of genetic gain and ignorance of the two lowest evaluated characters in the sel- ection index, i.e. ,,character“ and „prop- ortions“ would only reduce genetic prog- ress by 0.11%. Discussion as to whether retaining a variate in the index is worth- while, or not, should be weighted by the cost or labour of recording compared with its relative contribution to the aggregate genotype. The scoring point index, which at pres- ent is supposed to form a basis for the selection is exactly the „base“ index as described by Williams (1962). The exp- ected response from a truncative selection on a „base“ index can be calculated. A i - 0.680 B Va’Pa aggregate units per unit selection intensity A selection on the base index is theref- ore expected to be 20.37% less eífective than selection on the ,,optimal“ selection index. It should be stressed in this context that the weighting factors in the selection index are only optimal and the predicted genetic gain from a selection on the index is only accurate if the genetic and the phenotypic parameters are estimated without an error. This is only the case when the sample used for the estimation is large
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