Jökull


Jökull - 01.01.2009, Page 1

Jökull - 01.01.2009, Page 1
Reviewed research article Comparison of energy balance and degree-day models of summer ablation on the Langjökull ice cap, SW-Iceland Sverrir Guðmundsson1, Helgi Björnsson1, Finnur Pálsson1, and Hannes H. Haraldsson2 1Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, Sturlugata 7, IS-101 Reykjavík, Iceland 2National Power Company of Iceland, Háaleitisbraut 68, 103 Reykjavík, Iceland Abstract— Physical and empirical degree-day models are presented which simulate melting of the Langjökull ice cap in SW-Iceland, during the ablation seasons 2001 to 2005. The models were derived and evaluated using micro-meteorological observations on the glacier and tested with mass balance observations. The observed daily melt rates were successfully simulated by energy balance calculations based on meteorological observa- tions on the glacier. Air temperatures in the low-albedo surroundings of the glacier represent daily variations in the incoming radiation flux better than the damped boundary layer temperature above the melting glacier. Comparison of the empirical degree-day and physical energy balance models indicates that for a regional tem- perature change less than 3 !C, the empirical degree-day model may provide realistic predictions of changes in glacier ablation. INTRODUCTION In order to describe the relationship between climate and the mass balance of glaciers, various physical and empirical models have been presented that are based on measurements obtained either on or away from glaciers. The physical models provide direct es- timates of the energy balance components but they are often impractical due to lack of observations of weather parameters and surface characteristics on the glaciers (e. g. Lang, 1968; Van deWal, 1996). Empiri- cal models describe statistical relations between melt- ing and weather parameters. They are often based on temperature alone that is easily observed and has of- ten been recorded over decades. The temperature ob- servations are either away from the glacier (e. g. Jó- hannesson et al., 1995), or within the glacier boundary layer (e. g. Braithwaite, 1995a). The present paper is a contribution to the discus- sion on melt models, presenting both physical bud- get calculations of energy and empirical degree-day models describing melting. The experimental site is Hagafellsjökull, an outlet glacier of the Langjökull ice cap in SW-Iceland (Figure 1). Radiation com- ponents were measured directly in situ, and turbu- lent fluxes were calculated using wind, air temper- ature and humidity measured in the boundary layer. We examine whether temperature records within the glacier boundary layer or at ice free areas away from the glacier signify better changes in glacial melting. Based on physical models of the energy balance we test the performance of degree-day melt models and their applicability for predicting changes in melt rates in response to changes in regional temperatures. The degree-day models are also tested against mass bal- ance observations at stakes that have not been used for model calibration. LOCATION AND OBSERVATIONS Langjökull is the second largest ice cap in Iceland (925 km2 in area), located in Southwest Iceland at !64.7! N and!20.4!W (Figure 1). Elevations on the glacier surface range from 450 to 1450 m above sea JÖKULL No. 59 1
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