Íslenskar landbúnaðarrannsóknir - 01.03.1977, Qupperneq 75

Íslenskar landbúnaðarrannsóknir - 01.03.1977, Qupperneq 75
ÍSL. LANDBÚN. J. AGR. RES. ICEL. 1977 9, L' 73—76 Maximum likelihood estimation of sire induced embryonic mortality in Icelandic sheep. Stefán Aðalsteinsson Agricultural Research Institute, Reykjavík, lceland. ABSTRACT The paper describes a method by which sire-induced embryonic mortality is estimated. The estimation is based on a comparison, between abnormal and normal sires, of ewes with twins, ewes with singles and ewes returning on heat. The ram is ordinarily not assumed to affect the twinning rate of the ewes which are mated to him. A case of marked effect of three sires on the return rate and twinning rate of the ewes mated to them was reported by Adalsteinsson and Hallgrímsson (1977). The fertility and fecundity depres- sing effect of these rams was ascribed to ex- cess embryonic mortality prior to embryo implantation. The model used for the estimation of the cess embryonic mortality prior to embryo implantation. p = probability of fertilization of 2 eggs. q = probability of fertilization of 1 egg. r = 1 — p — q probability of fertil- ization of 0 eggs. (Includes both fertilization failure and "normal” embryonic losses = "background” loss). s = probability of death of embryos sired by "abnormal” sires, and 1 — s = probability of survival of embryos sired by "abnormal” sires. 1 = probability of survival of embryos sired by "normal” sires. The above basic probabilities lead to the class probabilities within individual sire groups, which are shown in table 1. The probabilities of a particular ewe fal- ling into each of the three categories, T, S an R, are shown in table 2 together with sym- bols for the observed numbers in each ewe group within sire group. The likelihood equation is formed in the ordinary way as the product of the class probabilities in table 2 to the power of the observed number in each class.
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