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Læknablaðið - 01.12.1978, Page 66

Læknablaðið - 01.12.1978, Page 66
200 LÆKNABLAÐIÐ the low rates are very interesting re- presenting as they do communities which are somehow protected from the environ- mental carcinogens which produce cancers elsewhere. Summation suggests that there could be communities with fantasticaliy high rates for human cancer and others in which cancer is virtually unknown. If you wish to study the clinical aspects, pathology and treatment of a particular cancer, then choose an area where that cancer commonly occurs. But in the hunt for causative factors, the uncommon indi- vidual who developes a cancer rare in his or her community may be a more reward- ing subject for study. As attention is focused on specific individual cancers, then the inadequacy of national and inter- national statistics become the more obvious, especially if based on mortality. The focus must be on living individuals with a speci- fic cancer. This is indeed the newer epi- demiology of cancer on which I hope to dwell. We have seen its success in the case of hepatocellular carcinomas in which a number of specific causative factors have now been idendified. It has achieved a great triumph with the incrimination1617 6 of di-ethyl-stilbestrol with vaginal adeno- carcinoma in young women, the offspring of women to whom in the pregnancy that produced the victim the chemical had been administered. The sequence of events in this discovery is worth noting, in routine histopathology a small sequence of distinc- tive cancer is seen in a group of patients in whom this cancer is rarely found, followed by detailed studies, not only of the victims themselves, but of the families, especially the mothers leading to the identi- fication of the causal factor, and one which it should be noted can be avoided, leading to a decline in the incidence of this cancer without regard to the patho- genesis.18 The investigation began where today such investigators should start, in a routine auxilliary diagnostic department when the patient is alive and families are cooperative. So let us with this in mind turn to H.D. The classic study is that of Dr. Martin Uddstromer in Sweden.47 Recently, we were pleased to receive a letter from this pioneer in H.D. epidemiology who in this study remarked on the surgeon described by Sisto44 who cut his hand when opening an H.D. gland and died of H.D. very rapidly. This influenced Uddstromer to feel that H.D. might be an infectious dis- ease. Later in a brilliant series of studies, MacMahon-1'30 drew attention to the bi- modal nature of the age incidence curve of H.D. in the US., true as Clemmesen3 showed of many countries, but seemingly not of Japan where the young adult peak appeared to be missing. In the countries cited there was no peak in childhood but MacMahon was aware that such peak could occur. He then made the stimulating and challenging suggestion that perhaps what we identify as H.D. subsumes two diffe- rent entities, an infection in the young, a cancer in the old. Meanwhile, various long term studies of mortality and survival in H.D. had re- emphasised Rosenthal’s conclusions42 as to the relationship between survival and the lymphocyte population and Lukes27 had created the system of subtypes of histo- logy, replacing the Jackson-Parker system which was subsequently modified into the Rye system28. This includes four subtypes, two of good prognosis — the lymphocyte predominant and the nodular sclerosing, and two of poor prognosis, the mixed cellu- larity and the lymphocyte depleted type. Both these it should be noted reflect pro- gnosis in natural survivorship and after radiotherapy but not with chemotherapy, this latter point being evident from the work of Ziegler et alB0 in Uganda where it was found that the Rye type distributions both of children2 and adults35 differed widely from that of the U.S. with a pre- ponderance of the unfavourable types in Africa, and also in S. America.5 Meanwhile Miller,32 in the age incidence curve of cancer mortality in the U.S. had noted that the male predominance, seen in all countries and marked in the U.S., was least evident in the U.S. in the later years of childhood when the rates for boys and girls were rising rapidly. With an average survival then of 2—7 years, this pointed

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