Fróðskaparrit - 01.01.2007, Page 133

Fróðskaparrit - 01.01.2007, Page 133
SAMANBERING AV ALDUFORSØGNUM FRÁ ECMWF VIÐ ALDUMÁTINGAR GJØRDAR Á FØROYALEIÐINI 131 speed time series at F8 must be done with caution as the effects of topography and air/sea temperature gradients are expected to be signifícant. The wind measured on the K7 buoy is measured at 3 m height and ought to be converted to 10 m height be- fore it is compared to the modelled 10 m wind. Inspection of the temperature gradi- ent between air and sea reveals that the at- mospheric stratification is predominantly unstable in all the inspected events. In such circumstances, it requires more informa- tion than available to do a proper height conversion. If the conditions had neutral stability, the increase in the wind speed from 3 m to 10 m height would be in the region of 10-15% depending on the rough- ness length of the sea. The K7 and F8 wind speeds are therefore not used to derive sta- tistical parameters from the performance of the wind model, but only used for visual inspection of possible general trends in the predicted wind speed. Events The events chosen for this validation con- tain the largest observed wave heights recorded so far on the WVD-4 location, and are long enough to give a general im- pression of the EW4 model performance. The meteorological circumstances leading up to the diíferent stonns are linked to the passages of one or several low pressures in the NE Atlantic. The dynamics leading up to the winter storms is quite complex and the reader is referred to analyzed weather charts (e.g. the NCEP reanalyzed weather charts available at http://www.wetterzen- trale.de/topkarten/fsreaeur.html). The rnain observed characteristics of the peak storm events are summarized in Table 3. From Table 3 it is clear that the ob- served wave fields at WVD-4 in the sum- mer events (1 and 3) correspond quite well to fully developed wind sea, whereas swells play an important role in the winter events (2 and 4). Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 4 Date 8/9 2000 2/2 2002 17/6 2002 15/1 2003 AP (hPa/hour) 36/50 at F8 29/36 at F8 12/6 at K7 28/12 at F8 AHmll (m/hour) 4.3-10.2/12 4.5-14.1/18 2.8-10.7/8 4.0-11.7/16 Max-wind (m/s) 19 (F8) 20 (F8), 27 (K7) 18 (K7) 8 (F8) Dir-wind StoW W to S to SW SE to S SWtoN Max-Hmo (m) 10.2 14.1 10.7 11.7 Max-Tt (s) 15.4 20.0 16.7 20.0 PM-T’{s) 16.0 18.8 16.4 17.1 PM-wind (m/s) 20.3 23.9 20.8 21.8 Table 3. Some general information related to the development of the peak storms in the four events. Date gives the date of the largest observed wave height, AP gives the drop in atmospheric pressure, zl//m()gives the increase in wave height from the beginning to the climax of the particular storm, Max-wind gives the maximum observcd wind spced, Dir-wind gives the observed wind directions throughout thc event, Max-Hm0 and Max-T/t give the largest observed wave heights and peak periods at WVD-4, PM-T t and PM-wind give the peak wave period and wind speed corresponding to the case where the observed wave height at WVD-4 is due to fully developed wind sea.
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