Úr þjóðarbúskapnum - 01.06.1962, Page 32

ÚR ÞJÓÐARBÚSKAPNUM
10% hækkun matsins á þjóðartekjunum árin
1945—1956, sem tilfærð er á yfirlitstöflunni,
er því að nokkru mælikvarði á óvissuna, þ.
e. a. s. vanmat eða ofmat þjóðhagsreikninga-
stærða í líkingunum að framan. Þar sem engin
leið er til þess að meta sérstaklega óvissu
„ráðstöfunaraðferðarinnar“ og þar sem vitað
er að nettótekjur eru frekar vanframtaldar en
of, þótti rétt að halda sér eingöngu við „ráð-
stöfunaraðferðina“ hvað viðvíkur 1957—1960,
en hækka tölur áranna 1945—1956 sem næst
um þann mismun, er var að meðaltali milli
niðurstaðna hinna tveggja aðferða á fjögurra
ára tímabilinu 1957—1960.
National product, expenditure and
income of lceland, 1945-1960
Summary in English of article on pages 3 — 30
Introduction
The Iceland Bank of Development has been
charged with the duty of preparing national
accounts estimates for Iceland, as from Dec-
ember 1953. In carrying out this task the Bank
has made use of material provided by the
Statistical Office and by various other agencies.
It was obvious from the outset that the
available statistieal material was not yet ripe
for a superstructure on the lines of national
accounts. A gradual build-up of various econ-
omic series had to take place, so designed as
to permit of integration into a unified whole.
For this reason little was done for the first
years to present comprehensive national acc-
ounts estimates. Such statements as have been
published, have been more in the nature of
provisional estimates.
Nevertheless, yearly statements of gradually
improved quality, showing the composition
of national product and expenditure, have
been submitted to international organizations.
These submissions have formed the basis for
publication of national accounts data for Ice-
land in the United Nations „Yearbook of
National Accounts Statistics" and in the
„OEEC General Statistics Bulletin“, as well
as in occasional publications of the OEEC.
Up to the present time the figures for the
aggregates, such as the gross national product,
expenditure and income, have been arrived
at from the income side. Various component
items, such as public consumption, gross
capital formation, imports and exports have on
the other hand been estimated independently.
Private consumption thus had to be arrived at
as a residual. By estimating private consump-
tion independently for the years 1957—1960 the
Bank has reached the important milestone of
being able to estimate the aggregates both
from the income and the expenditure side for
these years. It was concluded, on the other
hand, that it would hardly be possible or wor-
thwhile to attempt an independent estimate of
private consumption for the years prior to 1957.
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