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Jökull - 01.01.2019, Qupperneq 74

Jökull - 01.01.2019, Qupperneq 74
Variation in b-value of caldera earthquakes of Bárðarbunga Volcano caldera collapse 2014 to 2015 (Gudmundsson et al., 2016), and re-inflation of the volcano, 2015 to present (Sigmundsson et al., 2018). In this paper we test the proposition that this last change is in some way re- flected in a changing b-value. RECENT ACTIVITY OF THE BÁRÐARBUNGA VOLCANO Bárðarbunga is located in Central Iceland, near the center of the Iceland Hotspot (Wolfe et al., 1997), at a triple junction where three branches of the Ice- landic plate boundary meet (e.g. Einarsson, 2008). Due to its remoteness Bárðarbunga was not discov- ered as an active volcano until 1973 when the first satellite images of Iceland became available (Thorar- insson et al., 1973) and a caldera structure was evi- dent beneath the Vatnajökull glacier. The caldera was found to be the central element in an extensive vol- canic system, which fissure swarms extend 100 km to the SW and at least 60 km to the NE (e.g., Sæmunds- son, 1978; Einarsson and Sæmundsson, 1987; Hjart- ardóttir et al., 2016a). The caldera is about 700 m deep and filled to the rim by glacier ice (Björnsson, 1988). The caldera and the NE fissure swarm were found to be seismically quite active (Björnsson and Einarsson, 1990; Einarsson, 1986, 1991a). Studies of tephra deposits revealed large historic and prehistoric fissure eruptions in the fissure swarms, the SW swarm in particular (Larsen, 1984). The largest known is the Thjórsá Lava of South Iceland, a 20 km3 vol- ume lava flow emplaced around 8000 a (e.g., Hjart- arson, 1994). Lava flows from the Bárðarbunga vol- canic system have reached the south shore of Iceland and almost to the north shore as well (Hjartarson and Sæmundsson, 2014; Svavarsdóttir et al., 2017). No other Icelandic volcano has spread lavas as widely as this. Large recent eruptions include the Vatnaöldur eruption of ∼870, Veiðivötn eruption ∼1480, and Tröllahraun eruption of 1864–1866 (Larsen, 1984), all within the SW fissure swarm, a part of the East- ern Volcanic Zone in South Iceland. Earthquake monitoring of the Bárðarbunga area goes as far back as 1975, when the first stations in a country-wide seismic network were installed in North Iceland (Einarsson and Björnsson, 1987) and epicen- tral locations became sufficiently accurate to separate the activity of different volcanoes in the area. The ac- curacy increased significantly in 1985 when teleme- tered stations were installed in Central Iceland. A new digital network replaced these analog stations in 1990–1994, again increasing the detectability of events in Central Iceland. All this time it was clear that the caldera region of Bárðarbunga was seismi- cally active (e.g., Björnsson and Einarsson, 1990; Einarsson, 1991a; Jakobsdóttir, 2008) and was go- ing through different phases of activity. The period 1974–1996 was particularly active. About 15 earth- quakes of magnitude 5 and larger occurred at regular intervals during this time but had been unknown be- fore that. Their focal mechanisms had a large com- ponent of reverse faulting, interpreted by Einarsson (1986) to be the result of slow deflation of the vol- cano. Other authors considered this to be due to infla- tion of the volcano (Zobin,1999; Nettles and Ekström, 1998; Bjarnason, 2014). This activity ended abruptly in 1996 when the Gjálp eruption occurred, a fissure eruption about 15 km south of Bárðarbunga (Einars- son et al., 1997; Gudmundsson et al., 1997). The ac- tivity remained relatively low for several years but be- gan to increase slowly in 2002 (Jakobsdóttir, 2008). A new phase began in August 2014 when a dike started propagating away from the volcano and the caldera floor subsided. The dike propagated 48 km laterally for two weeks, accompanied by earthquake activity and graben formation until a lava eruption be- gan from its distal end (Sigmundsson et al., 2015; Hjartardóttir et al., 2016b; Ágústsdóttir et al., 2019). The eruption continued for six months and produced 1.4 km3 of lava. This was accompanied by a slow collapse of the Bárðarbunga caldera, a total of 65 m, and a series of earthquakes there, at least 70 of which were of magnitude 5 and larger (Guðmundsson et al., 2016). Following the end of the eruption the earthquake activity became relatively low for several months. But in the fall of 2015 the earthquake activity in the caldera increased again and continued at a con- stant rate for about two years, then slowly decreasing. The largest events of this last period exceeded magni- tude 4, but were smaller than 5. JÖKULL No. 69, 2019 73
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