Jökull


Jökull - 01.01.2019, Page 38

Jökull - 01.01.2019, Page 38
Historical accounts of pre-eruption seismicity in Iceland more related to that of the volcanoes of the volcanic flank zone to the south. In addition to the variable tec- tonic position of the volcanoes there is also a variable environment in which the eruptions take place. An eruption that would be effusive under subaerial condi- tions, may turn out explosive if the volcano is covered by a glacier or is in an oceanic environment off the coast. The high frequency of eruptions and variability in the expression of the volcanism make Iceland a pre- ferred area for the study of volcanic phenomena. For the local population it is of high interest to monitor the volcanoes with the ultimate goal to forecast their activity and issue warnings of impending eruptions. Einarsson (2018) investigated the relationship be- tween eruptions and precursory seismic activity for Icelandic eruptions during recent decades for which instrumental data are available. All eruptions since the early seventies were shown to have detectable short- term seismic precursors. Furthermore, it was docu- mented that in 2/3 of all cases the precursory activity was detected soon enough to issue a warning to the public before the eruption started. In the present paper an attempt is made to extend the study to a time period where monitoring was entirely based on visual obser- vations rather than instrumental monitoring we know today, and compile all cases of documented precur- sory seismic activity. The paper includes all known cases of premonitory seismicity of eruptions of Katla and Öræfajökull. These volcanoes have not erupted within the time of instrumental coverage, so no in- strumental data are available so far. DATA Thoroddsen (1899, 1925) continued the compila- tion of Hannes Finnsson and other authors of earth- quakes and volcanic activity during Historical time in Iceland (since the ninth century) as documented in written form. A good part of his work was based on historic annals, some of which are now accessi- ble on the internet (https://ia601406.us.archive.org/- 14/items/slenzkirannlars00sigugoog/slenzkirannlars- 00sigugoog.pdf). Thorarinsson (1967, 1975) revised some of his compilations and emphasized that the historical reliability of the different annals is very var- ied. Contemporary, or nearly contemporary annals are most valuable, whereas annals written long after the events are notoriously unreliable. The descrip- tions of eruptions in old annals are often quite cryptic and subject to interpretation. The written documents must be re-interpreted in light of new understanding of the activity of the volcanoes gained by continuing research. Therefore, in this paper, where appropriate the original Icelandic text is repeated for the benefit of later researchers who might want to test alternative interpretations. A few of these cases were pointed out by Björnsson and Einarsson (1981). For obvious reasons most of the documented cases are related to activity of the most active volcanoes, Katla and Hekla. The two other members of this class of very active volcanoes, Grímsvötn and Bárð- arbunga, are hardly mentioned in the documents be- cause of their very remote locations in the interior of Iceland. Major rifting episodes are documented, like those of the Krafla activity 1724–1746 in the North- ern Volcanic Zone (Sæmundsson, 1726) and the Laki eruption of 1783–1784 in the Eastern Volcanic Zone (e.g., Steingrímsson, 1788). The Reykjanes Penin- sula Oblique Rift went through an active phase that lasted about three centuries and ended in 1240 CE (Sæmundsson and Sigurgeirsson, 2013). Very few documents mention this activity and little is known about the course of events. No volcanic activity is known there since then. Similarly, the only major vol- canic event known in the Western Volcanic Zone, the Hallmundarhraun eruption, took place in early His- torical times (Jóhannesson, 1989) and is hardly men- tioned in written documents. DOCUMENTED CASES OF EARTHQUAKES ASSOCIATED WITH ERUPTIONS Katla Katla is one of the most frequently erupting volca- noes in Iceland. The central volcano is partly covered by the Mýrdalsjökull glacier (Björnsson et al., 2000) and the 700 m deep caldera is filled to the rim with ice (Figure 2). Eruptions in Historical times have been basaltic and have occurred within the caldera. They have therefore been accompanied by massive JÖKULL No. 69, 2019 37
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