Jökull

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Jökull - 01.01.2019, Qupperneq 50

Jökull - 01.01.2019, Qupperneq 50
Historical accounts of pre-eruption seismicity in Iceland for the several decades of seismic monitoring (e.g., Einarsson, 1991a; Einarsson and Brandsdóttir, 2000; Jakobsdóttir, 2008; Jónsdóttir et al., 2007). Hekla, on the other hand, is seismically very quiet between eruptions (Soosalu and Einarsson, 2005). This differ- ence in long-term behaviour may be explained by the depth of the magma storage of the two volcanoes. The caldera region of Katla is underlain by low-velocity, high attenuation material at shallow level, as revealed by undershooting and 3-D tomography (Gudmunds- son et al., 1994; Jeddi et al., 2016). At Hekla, on the other hand, attempts to find such volumes have been unsuccessful (Soosalu and Einarsson, 2004) and the pressure source responsible for inflation and deflation of the volcano in connection with recent volcanic ac- tivity have been shown to be at depths of 10-24 km (Ófeigsson et al., 2011; Geirsson et al., 2012; Sturkell et al., 2013). The unusually short precursor time for Hekla is difficult to understand in light of the large depth to the magma pressure source. A speed of 40 km/hour is required if magma propagating from a depth of 20 km reaches the surface in half an hour. Furthermore, the first events recorded prior to the eruption in 2000 had the signature of very shallow earthquakes, even though the depth could not be determined with cer- tainty (Soosalu et al., 2005). A solution to this enigma was proposed by Sturkell et al. (2013), who suggested that the time between eruptions of Hekla was not long enough for the magma in the conduit to solidify. The magma feeding the initial phase of the next eruption therefore came from the top of the conduit at shallow depth, and not from the deep pressure source. The high seismicity that seems to accompany eruptions of the Hekla volcanic system when the erup- tion site is outside the main edifice remains enigmatic. These eruptions take place on fissures, are mainly ef- fusive and produce basalt (Jakobsson, 1979) as op- posed to the more andesitic and dacitic composition of typical Hekla products. Perhaps the intense seismic activity reflects the longer path of the magma through the brittle part of the crust, whether by lateral propa- gation from the central volcano or by vertical propa- gation through the cooler crust surrounding the central volcano. Seismic activity preceding the two eruptions of Öræfajökull volcano in SE Iceland in Historical time, in 1362 and 1727, is not well documented. Both erup- tions appear to have been preceded by seismic activ- ity, however, sufficient to alarm the local population. This understanding is important now because of the recent re-awakening of this dangerous volcano, in- crease in seismicity and new geothermal activity, that is associated with inflation of the volcano (Geirsson et al., 2018). CONCLUSIONS A systematic study of historical documents describing the beginning of volcanic eruptions in Iceland con- firms the general public knowledge that most erup- tions are accompanied by earthquakes. These data complement and add to the instrumental data for the eruptions of the last half century that show that all eruptions have a detectable short-term precursory ac- tivity (Einarsson, 2018). This activity can be used to issue short-term warnings of an impending eruption if detected and recognized soon enough. There are reliable descriptions of pre-eruption seismicity for the Katla volcano for the seven sig- nificant eruptions during 1625–1918. These are the only data for this important and hazardous volcano. No eruptions large enough to penetrate the ice cover of the Katla caldera have occurred after sensitive in- struments were installed to monitor the volcano. All seven eruptions were preceded by felt earthquakes and were accompanied by catastrophic floods, jökul- hlaups, from the caldera. The precursor times, i.e. time from the first felt earthquake until the eruption was confirmed, range between one and nine hours. The time from the first felt earthquake until the flood wave reached the inhabited area, the jökulhlaup time, was always longer than two hours and in one case more than 12 hours. Reliable descriptions exist of ten eruptions of Hekla during the pre-instrumental period 1510-1947. Eruptions of Hekla fall into two categories regard- ing seismic behaviour. Eruption from the main edi- fice tend to be explosive and are generally accompa- nied by mild seismicity with short precursor times. In some instances (1510, 1597, 1693) the first felt earth- JÖKULL No. 69, 2019 49
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