Jökull


Jökull - 01.12.1989, Side 38

Jökull - 01.12.1989, Side 38
for calibration lines 1 and 2, respectively. The stan- dard deviation of the averages was 6 mm for line 1 (11 values) and 5 mm for line 2 (5 values). Inaccu- racy of the instrument quoted by the manufacturer is 5 mm + 1 mm/km, which corresponds quite well with the standard deviation of the averages for the shorter line. For the longer line the quoted inaccu- racy looks a bit pessimistic if compared with our standard deviation. If a line length of 7 km can be measured with a standard deviation of 7 mm (by tak- ing the average of several readings), then the change in the length between two measurement campaigns can be measured with a standard deviation of 1^2 = 10 mm. We point out that this standard devi- ation includes the effect of variable weather condi- tions, for example errors induced by only sampling atmospheric pressure and temperature at the end points of the lines.We conclude that, for our range of line lengths, measured changes must exceed 20- 25 mm to be interpreted as the result of tectonic movements. This corresponds to 1.8 ppm in strain, or better, for most of our lines. RESULTS The results of the remeasurements of the Ölfus, Flói and Holt networks are presented in Figs. 5, 6, and 7. By comparing these results visually to the results from the calibration lines (Figs. 3 and 4) it is clear that the variability of the lines within the active zone is larger. It is natural to interpret this greater variability as a result of tectonic movements. This is supported by the statistics of the data, whether one looks at the standard deviation of the readings for each length determination or takes the standard deviation of the calibration lines as being representative of the measurements. The standard deviations of the differences in the following para- graphs are found as the square root of the sum of the squares of the two individual standard deviations shown as vertical bars in FigS. 5-7. The Ölfus lines show changes, but they are irrégu- lar in space and cannot be interpreted as the result of homogeneous strain across the region. The changes are largest on line • 1-3 ((38 ± standard deviation 16) mm), line 1-4 ((32+14) mm) and line 1-5 ((54±15) mm). These are all extensions, as expected for a left-lateral motion along the zone. Lines 2-5 and 3-5, however, do not show the expected contrac- tion. Other changes are insigniíicant as well. All three lines of the Flói net are extended or show insignificant change, indicating areal exten- sional strain. The longest line, Flói 1-2, with NW-SE orientation shows an insignificant extension ((18±24)mm). The line Flói 1-3, almost N-S oriented, shows 25 mm extension (±8 mm) corresponding in strain to 3.2 ppm. The last line, W-E oriented, shows 17 mm extension (±9 mm) which corresponds to 2.4 ppm. This is not consistent with the expected horizontal shear in the seismic zone. The Flolt net has been measured three times. Here the changes show some regularity in space, but the time behaviour is irregular. The lines Holt 1-2, Holt 1-3, and Holt 1-4 are all directed NE-SW and should contract. Two of these lines, Holt 1-2 and Holt 1-3 where measured in 1979 and both lines show con- tractions in the time period 1979-1983 as expected, but they expand between the years 1983-1984. The line Holt 1-2 contracts 27 mm (±23 mm) between the years 1979-1983 and expands 45 mm (±23 mm) between 1983 and 1984. In total the line Holt 1-2 expands 18 mm (±2 mm) over the whole time period 1979-1984 resulting in 3.2 ppm. in strain. The line 1-3 is shortened 44 mm (±11 mm) in the time inter- val 1979-1983, but the movement is reversed in 1983-1984, 39 mm (±11 mm). In total, line 1-3 shows no significant change between the years 1979 and 1984. The lines Holt 2-3, Holt 2-4, and Holt 3-4 trend E-W and show little length changes, except possibly the line Holt 2-3 for the time period 1983- 1984. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION Remeasurements of 19 geodimeter lines in the active transform zone of South Iceland show that measureable distance changes occured during the period 1977-1984. The changes are irregular, both in time and space, and cannot be interpreted as the result of a slow and continuous strain build-up as is sometimes assumed to occur along plate boundaries. 36 JÖKULL, No. 39, 1989
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