Skógræktarritið - 15.05.2001, Qupperneq 195

Skógræktarritið - 15.05.2001, Qupperneq 195
most suitable for making objec- tive predictions about the status of a system but also because there is a consensus that they are able to do so. indicators are thus dependent on the agree- ment of those who set up and usethem (ICLEI 1999). Communication is very impor- tant for the users of indicators. The understandability of indica- tors is very important if an indica- tor-system is to be accepted by target groups, mainly in the pub- lic and political arenas. They are unable to understand the relevant information if it is not aggregated or reduced in complexity. One important goal for the construction and use of indica- tors is their international compa- rability. Forthis purpose it is essential to ratify and observe internationaily accepted stan- dards. It is still difficult to com- pare even simple indicators like "forest area" because the defini- tions and thus the methods for measuring are different. Relevance for policy, commu- nication and international com- parability appear to contradict analytical foundation, because there is a danger that the scien- tific validity of the indicators is decreased when using indicators for political purposes. Precise, scientifically based indicators are frequently less understandable for political decision makers and the broader public and they are therefore seldom attended to outside scientific circles (MacGillivray and Zadek 1995: 11). On the other hand, indica- tors that are attractive to the public very often are not well based scientifically. Therefore precision and understandability must be balanced in an optimal way to obtain a "warm indicator" that is as correct as possible and comprehensible to the non-sci- entific community. SKÓGRÆKTARRITIÐ 2001 1. tbl. Requirements for indicators of sustainable development N ormativity The use of indicators of sustainable development assumes that the target of a worldwide sustainable development cannot be reached, i.e. development will be non-sustainable (Meadows et al. 1993). This not only requires the scientific survey of the status quo but requires additionally that desirable ecological, economic and social targets are formulated. For this reason, Opschoor and Reijnders (1991: 7) characterize indicators of sustainable development as normative values because they relate actual, "objective” developments to a desirable condition or goal. Long-Range Indicators of sustainable development do not aim at dealing with acute problems. Their range is based on the need for long-term stability and the action needed to achieve it (Opschoor and Reijnders 1991: 7). Scope Sustainable development must to be put into practice on all action levels, from the local u the global level, to be able to ensure intra- and intergenerational justice. Basics and requirements The international debate about sustainability is based on the fol- lowing definition by Brundtland (World Commission on Environ- ment and Development 1987): "Sustainable development is devel- opment tfiat meets tfie needs ofthe present without compromising the ability offuture generations to meet theirown needs." The Brundtland-definition points out that intra- and intergenera- tional justice of distribution are the main components of sustain- able development. However, no definite model for the general context between natural and human systems can be based on it. Agenda 21, the product of the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development in Rio 1992 and the results of the follow-up conferences make it clear that sustainability can be described by three dimensions. They are 1) ecological, 2) eco- nomic and 3) social aspects, which have to be observed over time and on different spatial lev- els. Indicators of sustainable development are according to chapter40.4 of Agenda 21 "indi- cators which provide a solid basis for decision-making at all levels and con- tribute to a self-regulating sustain- ability of integrated environment and development systems". Meadows (s.t) points out that "an environ- mental indicator becomes a sustain- ability indicator with the addition of time, limit ortarget". The following requirements of indicators of sustainable development are the results of the definition of sustainable development and its 3 dimen- sions. Problems and limits of indicators It is important to note that with the selection of indicators, value judgements have to be made both with regard to what is important and what targets to set (BUND and Misereor 1996: 38). Ideally, índicators should allow conclusions about the cause of change. Strictly suitable indica- tors are therefore only driving force- or pressure indicators - e.g. greenhouse gas emissions. Indicators describing the status of an environmental medium do not usually allow cause-specific, quantitative prognoses, therefore they can only be used as refer- ence values. A literature search resulted in the following examples of the suitability of indicators: • Indicators can help to focus public attention, to shape con- sciousness, and support com- munication about key issues, priorities and action strategies (Department of the Environ- ment 1996: 2). • Indicators help to quantify selected criteria (the problem), 193
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