Jökull


Jökull - 01.01.2005, Side 70

Jökull - 01.01.2005, Side 70
Bergrún Arna Óladóttir et al. Figure 9. Number of Katla tephra layers per five hundred years of the composite soil profile, covering ∼8500 years (0–1 ka is historical time). The SILK layers (YN, N3, A9, A12) that were not present in the composite soil profile are included. Solid line only includes basaltic Katla tephra layers that have been analysed for major element composition. The mean value is 1.4 events per 100 years. Using the total number (= 172) of Katla tephra layers based on field identification, the mean value is 2.2 layers per 100 years in prehistoric times and the true mean frequency is likely to be close to 4 events per century. In historical time the tephra layer frequency on the east side of the volcano is ∼1 event per 100 years, whereas the true eruption frequency is ∼2 event per 100 years (e.g. Larsen, 2000; see text for further details). – Fjöldi Kötlugjóskulaga á hverjum 500 árum í sam- setta jarðvegssniðinu (0–1 ka er sögulegur tími). Öll þekkt súr Kötlulög eru höfð með í talningunni þótt sum þeirra fyndust ekki í samsetta sniðinu (YN, N3, A9, A12 bætast við) til að kanna tengls súru gjóskulaganna við toppa í gostíðninni. Heildregna línan sýnir fjölda efnagreindra gjóskulaga. Meðaltalið er 1.4 gos/100 ár. Ef gjóskulög greind sem Kötlulög á útlitseinkennum eru tekin með (samtals 172) er meðaltalið 2.2. gos/100 ár á forsögulegum tíma. Í ljósi þess að helmingur Kötlulaga frá sögulegum tíma finnst austan við Kötlueldstöðina (þ.e. 10 af 20 Kötlulögum, sbr. Guðrún Larsen 2000) er líklegt að gostíðnin á forsögulegum tíma hafi verið nálægt 4 Kötlugosum á öld. layers are produced during periods characterized by both high and low basalt eruption frequency, there is an obvious correlation between the increase in dacite eruption frequency and basalt eruption frequency. Periods I-VIII and eruption frequency Significant variations are also observed between the periods defined by the compositional patterns (Table 4). The lowest frequency of explosive basalt erup- tions is found in period I (historical time), whereas the highest frequency is in period IV. The latter cor- responds to the younger frequency peak in volcanic activity at the Katla system (Figures 7 and 9). The av- erage time interval between the formation of basaltic tephra layers is shortest in periods IV and VIII, 32 years in both instances, but longest in periods I (98 years) and V (73 years). Note that the time inter- vals quoted here are two times longer than the true repose time between eruptions, assuming again that the tephra sequence east of Katla volcano represent only half of the total number of its eruptions. The av- erage repose times as calculated from the composite soil sections for each period (Table 4) can be com- pared between different time periods since the risk of missing out tephra layers is expected to be the same throughout the time studied. Consequently, the aver- 70 JÖKULL No. 55
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