Jökull


Jökull - 01.01.2010, Page 99

Jökull - 01.01.2010, Page 99
Geothermal noise at Ölkelduháls, SW Iceland The simple structure that is clear in the correlo- grams in Figure 9 is that along line A the energy is predominantly at positive time shifts. This indicates a source to the west of station LA0. The first few sta- tions along the B line have energy at negative time shifts indicating a source to the west of LB2. Further west the energy shifts to positive time shifts indicating a source to the east of the westernmost sites. In order to combine the information in all cross-correlations available from the data we compute the complex en- velopes of the correlograms and use them as a smooth measure of energy. We then fill a grid covering hypo- thetical sources (in the surface) in the vicinity of the profile with hypothetical slowness or velocity (hori- zontal) with the stacked correlation envelopes shifted in time to the appropriate time shift for the particular geometry and velocity. This procedure searches for those source locations, combined with velocity, that best predict the energy in the correlograms of Figure 9 and the 72 other cross correlations that are computable from the data. The results are shown in Figure 10 for four different velocities in increasing order from 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 km/s for frames a) to d) respectively. The maximum correlation stack is about 30, i.e. one third of the maximum possible value for 90 station pairs. The minimum stacked correlation is about half the maximum, i.e. 15. This search procedure does not find a perfect model, or a perfect distribution of mod- els, but a crude map of which source locations (and velocity) are more likely than others. Quantitative cal- ibration of the stacked correlation in terms of proba- bility requires statistical justification, which we have not performed, but we can at least state qualitatively that those source locations that give a high stack are in general more likely than others. We achieve the highest stacked correlation at a low velocity of 0.5 km/s (Figure 10a). The distribu- tion of the most likely sources is found 3 to 5 km NW of Ölkelduháls. This is inconsistent with the ampli- tude data which would be predicted to vary little along the entire profile which is of comparable length (4–5 km). At a somewhat higher velocity of 1 km/s (Fig- ure 10b) the region of high stacked correlation is not significantly reduced in amplitude, but more confined in space compared to Figure 10a. The most likely source locations are found in the immediate vicinity of Ölkelduháls and slightly to the north. A secondary localized peak is also found in the vicinity of stations LA3 and LA4 that we can speculate to be related to the anomaly A in Figure 7. No localized peak is found near the SW end of the profile. Figure 10c shows the stacked correlation for a velocity of 1.5 km/s. In this case the highest stacked correlation has dropped sig- nificantly or by about 15%. The best solutions are localized precisely at Ölkelduháls and then at a lower level of fit along a NW trending ridge centered on Öl- kelduháls. With a velocity as high as 2.0 km/s (Fig- ure 10d) the fit has deteriorated further by 15% and the best-fit sources are confined to an elongated NW trending ridge including Ölkelduháls. On the basis of these calculations and in combi- nation with the amplitude relations shown in Figure 7 we conclude that the most likely source of the geother- mal noise measured along our profile is in large part confined to the Ölkelduháls geothermal activity. We regard this as a strong argument for association of this noise in the 3–7 Hz range with geothermal activity. The results suggest a velocity close to 1 km/s, which we must interpret as group velocity due to use of the complex envelope of correlograms. Combined with snap shots of particle motion and polarization anal- yses this suggests primarily a surface-wave content in the noise. The wavelength is then about 200 m and intra-station distance exceeds a quarter of a wave length. Array methods are, therefore, poorly suited for our observational geometry (in addition to the fact the the profile is roughly linear and thus strongly di- rectional in its sensitivity). Many questions still re- main about the detailed characterization of the noise and its sources. The crude tools available to us with the limited data from a small linear array will proba- bly not answer those. But, we believe we now know what progress does require. CONCLUSIONS We have argued, based on amplitude and timing of energy packets, that the noise in the range between 3 and 7 Hz along the 4–5 km long profile at Ölkelduháls is generated by the geothermal activity in the region. The wave field of the noise appears to be dominantly JÖKULL No. 60 99
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