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Jökull - 01.10.1998, Qupperneq 34

Jökull - 01.10.1998, Qupperneq 34
verse around 1960 as was the case in Iceland and in the Alps (Chaohai, 1992). The response of the termini varies between the monitored glacier tongues as can be seen from graphs of the individual data series in Sigurðsson (this vol- ume). Due to the small number of glaciers in the data set, we are, however, unable to draw any conclusions regarding regional differences of glacier variations in Iceland during the monitoring period. Figure 5 shows summer temperature (May to September) and yearly precipitation (October previ- ous year to September) in Kirkjubæjarklaustur S-Ice- land (a) and Reykjavík SW-Iceland (b) from 1931 to 1995. Variations in glacier ablation are primarily re- lated to variations in the summer temperature, where- as changes in the accumulation may be expected to correlate with variations in the precipitation record. There is a good correlation between the temperature records from Kirkjubæjarklaustur and Reykjavík, as is expected, since there is in general a good correla- tion between temperature measurements from differ- ent meteorological stations in Iceland (Einarsson, 1991). It can, therefore, be assumed that the tempera- ture records from Kirkjubæjarklaustur and Reykjavík give an estimate of temperature variations that oc- curred on Icelandic glaciers in this time period. The figure shows that the temperature was relatively high from 1931 to 1960, especially in the years 1931 to 1940. After about 1960 the climate cooled markedly, the temperature reached a minimum between 1980 and 1985 and the climate has been slowly warming since then. There are no similar systematic trends in the precipitation records in spite of large short term fluctuations (note the shifted precipitation scale in Figure 5a,b). The temperature and precipitation records in Fig- ure 5 indicate that glacier fluctuations in Iceland (cf. Figure 4) were primarily controlled by variations in the summer temperature. The rapid glacier retreat from 1931 to 1960 is related to high summer temper- atures in the decades after 1930. The retreat slowed down and turned to advance in the period 1965 to 1970 when the climate had become cooler and the fraction of advancing glaciers reached its maximum in the period 1975 to 1990 after the summer tempera- ture had reached its minimum around 1980. In spite of the strong correlation between glacier variations and summer temperature, which is appar- ent from figures 4 and 5, the figures show that the re- lationship between glaciers and climate is not simple. The decade from 1931 to 1940 is the warmest decade in the instrumental record in Iceland. In spite of this, between 10 and 20% of the glacier termini were ad- vancing in this period, and more than 40% of the ter- mini were still retreating during most of the very cold summers from 1970 to 1980. REFERENCES Bjömsson, H. 1979. Glaciers in Iceland. Jökull 29,74-80. Chaohai, Liu and Han Tianding. 1992. Relation between re- cent glacier variations and climate in Tianshan Moun- tains, Central Asia. Annals of Glaciology, 16,11-16. Dyurgerov, M. and M. F. Meier. 1997a. Mass balance of mountain and subpolar glaciers: A new global assess- ment for 1961-1990. Arctic and Alpine Research, 29(4), 379-391. Dyurgerov, M. and M. F. Meier. 1997b. Year-to-year fluctua- tions of global mass balance of small glaciers and their contribution to sea-level changes. Arctic and Alpine Re- search, 29(4), 392-402. Einarsson, M. 1991. Temperature conditions in Iceland, 1901-1990. Jökull 41,1-20. Haeberli, W., P. Miiller, P. Alean and H. Bösch. 1989. Glacier changes following the Little Ice Age - A survey of the in- temational data basis and its perspectives. In Oerlemans, J., Ed. Glacier Fluctuations and Climatic Change, 77- 101. Dordrecht, Kluwer Academic Publishers. Haeberli, W. 1995. Glacier fluctuations and climate change detection - operational elements of a worldwide moni- toring strategy. WMO Bulletin, 44(1), 23-31. Houghton, J. T., L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander, N. Har- ris, A. Kattenberg, K. Maskell. 1996. Climate change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. 572 pp. Jóhannesson, T., C. F. Raymond and E. D. Waddington. 1989. Time-scale for adjustment of glaciers to changes in mass balance. Journal ofGlaciology, 35(121), 355-369. Jóhannesson, T., O. Sigurðsson, T. Laumann, M. Kennett. 1995. Degree-day mass balance modelling with applica- tions to glaciers in Iceland, Norway and Greenland. Journal of Glaciology, 41(138), 345-358. 32 JOKULL, No. 45, 1998
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