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Jökull - 01.01.2013, Qupperneq 79

Jökull - 01.01.2013, Qupperneq 79
Sensitivity of Icelandic river basins to recent climate variations Table 3. Median annual temperature, AT (◦C), precipitation, AP (mm/year) and streamflow, AQ (m3/s), for the various subsets. – Miðgildi árshita, AT (◦C), ársúrkomu, AP (mm/ár), og ársrennslis, AQ (m3/s), fyrir mismun- andi áraflokka. Variable / Gauging station VHM- VHM- VHM- VHM- VHM- VHM- VHM- VHM- 19 10 26 145 144 66 64 96 AT (1971–2000) –0.1 0.2 0.6 –1.2 –1.8 –0.8 0.9 –0.6 AT-warm 0.5 0.7 1.2 –0.6 –1.2 –0.2 1.6 0.2 AT-cold –0.9 –0.5 0. –1.7 –2.4 –1.4 0.3 –1.0 AT-wet –0.2 0.4 0.5 –1.1 –1.8 –0.5 1. –0.3 AT-dry 0.1 0.4 0.9 –1.3 –1.5 –0.8 0.9 –0.8 AP (1971-2000) 2996 798 1291 851 1061 1634 1978 1683 AP-warm 3227 845 1269 774 956 1943 2283 1894 AP-cold 3035 826 1316 875 1147 1645 1975 1560 AP-wet 3672 996 1488 1056 1248 2141 2477 2246 AP-dry 2539 658 1059 680 861 1358 1763 1530 AQ (1971–2000) 3.0 10.5 13.6 20.6 38.3 79.6 369.5 80.2 AQ-warm 3.4 9.5 12.8 22.9 40.4 88.0 404.8 86.2 AQ-cold 3.0 10.2 14.4 21.1 38.9 74.4 364.6 76.7 AQ-wet 3.6 11.9 14.4 22.8 41.4 88.0 433.8 87.8 AQ-dry 2.7 8.8 11.8 18.6 37.4 71.3 336.1 78.4 ical variable between warm and cold years. The me- dian annual temperature increase of 1.1–1.4 ◦C was accompanied by a significant increase in rainfall in west and northwest Iceland due to a change in the fraction of liquid and solid precipitation while precip- itation remained unchanged. Rainfall also increased in the south, in association with both temperature and precipitation increases but remained unchanged in the northern and northeastern catchments. The an- nual snowpack peak magnitude (AMS) was reduced in warm years in the majority of catchments and its tim- ing (DAMS) was shifted several weeks earlier, for five catchments. In response to higher temperatures, the annual snow cover duration (ASD) was shortened by several weeks in all catchments but one. Annual snowmelt runoff (ASR) was significantly lower in warm years at three elevated catchments for which the magni- tude of the annual snowpack peak decreased, but remained unchanged for the other watersheds, even for those where the magnitude of the annual snow- pack peak decreased. The annual glacier melt runoff (AGR) in the warm years was 20 to 40% larger than in the cold years for all the glacier-covered catchments. Where annual precipitation remained unchanged, the increased glacial melt indicates loss of mass through ice melting from glacier ablation areas and/or firn melting from glacier accumulation areas. Increased glacier melting was associated with longer glacier melt period (AGD) by several weeks in all glacierized catchments. Annual total water input runoff (AWR) was not affected by temperature variations in the northern and northeastern glacier-free basins, because rain and snowmelt remained unchanged. A significant AWR increase was observed in warmer years in the north- western catchment VHM-19, most likely because of increased rain. The increase in AWR with higher tem- peratures in the western and southern glacier-covered catchments (VHM-66, VHM-64 and VHM-96), was probably due to a rainfall increase, re-enforced by a larger glacier melt runoff. For the two northern glacier-covered catchments (VHM-144 and VHM- 145), AWR did not change, although glacier melt runoff increased, indicating that the increased glacial melting was not large enough to compensate for the decrease of runoff on the glacier-free part of these watersheds. Annual mean streamflow (AQ) increased JÖKULL No. 63, 2013 79
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