Jökull


Jökull - 01.01.2014, Page 81

Jökull - 01.01.2014, Page 81
Earthquake Sequence 1973–1996 in Bárðarbunga volcano APPENDIX Stress-drop of Bárðarbunga earthquakes relative to regular tectonic earthquakes in Iceland. Seismic stress drop is a factor that can account for difference in corner frequency of earthquakes of similar size. A priori, the corner frequency of e.g. the larger, Vatnafjöll event, is expected to be lower than that of the smaller Bárðarbunga 1996 event. It turns out that corner frequency of the Vatna- fjöll event is three times as high as the Bárðarbunga event of 1996 (Table 2). Similarly the corner frequency of the larger Skagafjörður 1994 event (MW =5.5) is twice as high as that of Bárðarbunga 1995 event (MW =5.4) (Table 2). The Vatnafjöll earthquake nucleated in the lower crust, with cen- troid depth of 6.6 km (Bjarnason and Einarsson, 1991), but it is argued here that the unusually low corner frequencies of the Bárðarbunga medium size earthquakes do suggest shal- low sources as previous authors have suggested (Einarsson, 1991, Nettles and Ekström, 1998; Konstantinou et al., 2003; Tkalc̆ić et al., 2009). Categorizing stress drop in Bárðarbunga earthquakes, three principal methods come to mind: Static stress drop es- timates; dynamic stress drop from source time functions de- termined with moment tensor inversion; and dynamic stress drop from corner frequency: Static stress drop Calculation of static stress drop ∆σstatic = CgµD/A 1/2 (eq. 1) is not feasible because of lack of information on most of the parameters that it depends on, fault area (A), fault geometry (Cg), and average slip (D). However, the shear modulus (µ) in the fault region is assumed to be equal to the average modulus for the Central and North Iceland Volcanic zones (Bjarnason and Schmeling, 2009). Dynamic stress drop and source time function Nettles and Ekström (1998) reported unusually long source- time functions (4–7 s) for the intermediate Bárðarbunga earthquakes in the years 1976–1996, with 5 s for the 1996 event. Fichtner and Tkalc̆ić (2010) concluded that the source duration of the 1996 event could not be well con- strained, in spite of the higher frequency resolution of local broadband recordings used (HOTSPOT array, Foulger et al., 2001). The duration in the range of 3–8 s was estimated by these authors, with maximum moment release in the first 3.5 s. Konstantinou et al. (2003) estimated∼5 s long source time function for the 1996 event. All these estimates sug- gest long source duration, and 5 s duration of the 1996 event is 3/4 longer than average for earthquakes of that size (Ek- ström et al., 1992). Although longer than average source time function may be an indicator of low stress drop event, as the Brune model suggests, firm theoretical or empirical relations with observations are still lacking (see e.g. Scholz, 1990; Bizzarri, 2010). There is even a case of very long source duration event compared to the average that may not have been with low stress drop (Ekström et al., 1992). It is, however, generally agreed that longer than average source duration indicates low rupture velocity (Vr). For the estimated 12 km long rupture in the 1996 event, assuming unilateral rupture (reasonable assumption based on Stefánsson et al. (1996) aftershock distribution), the rup- ture velocity (maximum velocity) is 2.4 km/s, which is a low value. Assuming a normal value ratio of rupture ve- locity to source shear velocity to be Vr/β = 0.9, this gives source depth of 2.0–2.5 km, and Vr/β = 0.7, a source depth of ∼5.0 km, using the shear velocity structure of Bjarna- son and Schmeling (2009) for Central Iceland. It is not rea- sonable to assume Vr/β to be lower than 0.7, because that would place the source at unreasonable depth in the lower crust or even in the mantle. As stress drop (eq. 1) is a linear function of the shear modulus there is an indication that a shallow source earthquake would tend to have lower stress drop. In the laboratory this effect is observed: At low con- fining pressure (equivalent to shallow depth) the material friction is smaller than at greater pressure, and hence the loading force (stress) needed for slip is smaller. As stress drop is proportional to the loading force (Scholz, 1990), it follows that the stress drop is also lowered. Therefore, it is concluded, that these observations do indicate a low stress drop of a shallow (2.0–5.0 km) event. It seems unlikely that the rupture depths of the other Bárðarbunga events, with similar source properties, would deviate much from the above depth range. Dynamic stress drop and corner frequency The relationships of corner frequency f of earthquake spec- tra of a circular crack model of Sato and Hirasawa (1973) were reviewed by Aki and Richards (1980) [p. 820–821]. The Sato and Hirasawa (1973) model spectra have a Brune (1970) like ω−2 asymptote beyond the corner frequency. The dependence of azimuthally averaged P-wave corner fre- quency 〈fp〉, is 2π〈fp〉 = Cpα/R (eq. 2), where α is P-wave velocity at the source, R is radius of the circular crack, and Cp is a scaling constant that depends on the ra- JÖKULL No. 64, 2014 81
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