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Jökull - 01.01.2021, Qupperneq 63

Jökull - 01.01.2021, Qupperneq 63
Bedrock and tephra layer topography within the Katla caldera also brought the tephra layer down to the glacier bed, beneath many cauldrons, revealed as data gaps in Fig- ure 8a. It is not always clear what causes the absence of the 1918 tephra layer in other areas but the glacier in these areas is often relatively thin (e.g. areas near Goðabunga at the south-west rim of the caldera and survey areas outside the caldera). In 2016, the 1918 tephra layer lay mostly at 200– 350 m depth, in few areas at less than 200 m depth, but in the westernmost part of the survey area, the tephra was at ∼100 m depth (Figure 8a). This shallow depth of the layer, almost 100 years after the eruption, is noteworthy given that the annual balance, measured at the peak of Goðabunga ∼3 km further south, is typ- ically between 3 and 4 m ice equivalent (Ágústsson et al., 2013 and more recent unpublished data from JÖRFÍ field surveys). A recent study applying snow radar to map winter accumulation did however indi- cate ∼40% less winter snow in the area of minimum tephra layer depth in May 2016 than at the peak of Goðabunga (Hannesdóttir, 2021). This is probably a persistent accumulation pattern produced by redis- tribution due to snow drift (e.g. Dadic et al., 2010) reducing winter accumulation at a ridge between the caldera plateau and the west side of Mýrdalsjökull, explaining the shallow depth of the tephra at this lo- cation (Hannesdóttir, 2021). The topography of the 1918 tephra layer within the ice is clearly shaped by subglacial geothermal ac- tivity. A good example is the area at the caldera cen- tre, where the subglacial geothermal activity, beneath K5, K6, K7 and K19, clearly leave their imprints in the 1918 tephra layer (Figure 11). We also observe a strong depression in the tephra layer south of K19 (also seen as a dip in the traced tephra layer on Figure 2e). This (marked A in Figure 11) is not a location of previously known cauldron, although there is a clear curve in the surface contour lines matching the loca- tion of the depression in tephra layer. Subglacial melt- ing due to geothermal activity seems required to ex- plain these features. Another less obvious feature is a ∼25 m deep depression in the tephra layer north of K6 (marked B in Figure 11). This depression is also ob- served in the deeper tephra layer at this location (Fig- ure 8b). At first glance, this shallow depression seems likely to be formed by ice dynamics. However, com- parison of the glacier surfaces from 2016 (Pléiades) and 2010 (Jóhannesson et al., 2013) shows that minor curves in the surface elevation contours at this loca- tion in 2016 were substantially stronger in 2010; the surface undulation at this location has been smoothed from 2010 to 2016. This shallow depression in the tephra layer is therefore likely an imprint of weak and probably sporadic geothermal activity at the glacier bed, which may have been dormant in 2010–2016. The beautiful depression in the 1918 tephra layer formed by the subglacial geothermal activity beneath K6 includes the 1918 tephra observed at greatest depth (∼460 m) southeast of the cauldron. This de- pression becomes shallower, reaching a saddle point ∼1.4 km southeast of K6 centre (marked C in Figure 11). To understand the formation of the saddle point, results from recent modelling work, carried out to es- timate the power of the geothermal areas beneath the ice cauldrons of Mýrdalsjökull in 2016–2019 (Jarosch et al., 2020) were inspected. In the modelling, 3D- velocity fields for the slow, gravity driven flow of ice were computed with the stationary incompressible Stokes equations (see e.g. Jarosch, 2008 for details). The modelling used the bedrock DEM, presented here (without improvements from the 2021 RES-survey around the 1918 eruption site), and annual surface DEMs in 2016–2018 (from Pléiades autumn images) as inputs. The rate factor A in Glen’s flow law (Glen, 1955) was tuned by fitting the model output veloc- ity with results from GNSS stations at various loca- tion including stations at K6 centre in 2018, resulting in A=2.6× 1024 Pa−3 s−1. A textbook value of n=3 (e.g. Cuffey and Paterson, 2010) was assumed for the nonlinearity exponent in Glen’s flow law. From the velocity field in September 2016, modelled using sur- face DEM from the same month, we obtain horizontal surface velocity between 6 and 9 m a−1 along an ap- proximate flow line between K6 centre and the saddle point C. Assuming that this velocity is representative for the ice motion at this location since 1918, this indi- cates that tephra now at C fell on the glacier surface in 1918 only 600–900 m closer to K6 or at least 500 m southeast from the cauldron centre. This tephra did therefore not pass the area where most of the down- JÖKULL No. 71, 2021 61
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